NBA Playoffs player props today: Monday's best props include Paul George [5/4/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for May 04, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Paul George, De'Aaron Fox and Josh Hart.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including 76ers vs. Knicks and Timberwolves vs. Spurs, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Monday's playoffs, 5/4

Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for May 4, ranked by probability.

Paul George over 15.5 points scored (+100)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Projection: 18.0
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Philadelphia's Paul George over 15.5 points scored. A probability of 55.3% gives this play an edge of 5.3% at +100 odds.

Paul George over 3.5 assists (+109)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Projection: 4.3
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Paul George’s assists prop shows a 6.4% edge at +109 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.3 assists on the over 3.5 line.

Paul George over 5.5 rebounds (+109)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 53.4%
• Projection: 6.1
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Paul George over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 53.4% probability and a 5.5% edge at +109.

De'Aaron Fox over 18.5 points scored (+115)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Projection: 19.8
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects De'Aaron Fox to put up 19.8 points scored today, creating an edge of 6.4% on the over 18.5 line at +115 odds.

Josh Hart over 12.5 points scored (+115)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Projection: 13.2
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Josh Hart over 12.5 points scored for New York, showing an edge of 5.0% at +115 odds.

Karl-Anthony Towns over 12.5 rebounds (+125)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 12.7
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Karl-Anthony Towns’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 6.7% at +125 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 12.7 today.

Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+153)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Our model projects Rudy Gobert for 1.5 blocks for Minnesota, creating an edge of 10.2% on over 1.5 at +153 odds.

Paul George over 1.5 steals (+146)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 48.7%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Paul George for 1.4 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +146 odds and a 8.0% edge.

Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks (+133)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

A 5.6% edge on the over 1.5 blocks line makes Joel Embiid a value play in 76ers vs. Knicks, with our model projecting him for 1.3 blocks at +133 odds.

Dylan Harper over 11.5 points scored (+150)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 10.7
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Simulations project Dylan Harper for 10.7 points scored here, creating a 8.2% edge on the over 11.5 line at +150 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Monday, May 4, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 8:54PM ET:

NBA postseason promo code for Novig

To make the most of Monday's prop picks—headlined by action on Paul George—check out the below offer from Novig.

Conclusion

For May 4, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Paul George, De'Aaron Fox and Josh Hart. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.