...
...
Read Article
NBA Playoffs player props today: Monday's best props include OG Anunoby [5/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Monday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for May 04, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of OG Anunoby, Paul George and De'Aaron Fox.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including 76ers vs. Knicks and Timberwolves vs. Spurs, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop bets for Monday's playoffs, 5/4
Sourced from 30+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for May 4, ranked by probability.
OG Anunoby over 17.5 points scored (+102)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 54.9%
- Projection: 19.8
- Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on New York's OG Anunoby over 17.5 points scored. A probability of 54.9% gives this play an edge of 5.4% at +102 odds.
Paul George over 3.5 assists (+120)
- Edge: 9.2%
- Probability: 54.6%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)
Paul George’s assists prop shows a 9.2% edge at +120 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 4.3 assists on the over 3.5 line.
Paul George over 5.5 rebounds (+115)
- Edge: 7.0%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Projection: 6.1
- Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Paul George over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 53.6% probability and a 7.0% edge at +115.
De'Aaron Fox over 18.5 points scored (+120)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 52.9%
- Projection: 19.8
- Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Our model projects De'Aaron Fox to put up 19.8 points scored today, creating an edge of 7.4% on the over 18.5 line at +120 odds.
Julian Champagnie over 9.5 points scored (+125)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Projection: 10.5
- Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Julian Champagnie over 9.5 points scored for San Antonio, showing an edge of 7.8% at +125 odds.
Karl-Anthony Towns over 12.5 rebounds (+125)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Projection: 12.7
- Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)
Karl-Anthony Towns’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 6.7% at +125 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 12.7 today.
Josh Hart over 12.5 points scored (+125)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 51.1%
- Projection: 13.0
- Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)
Our model projects Josh Hart for 13.0 points scored for New York, creating an edge of 6.6% on over 12.5 at +125 odds.
Stephon Castle over 18.5 points scored (+125)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 50.2%
- Projection: 18.6
- Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Stephon Castle for 18.6 points scored, creating value on the over 18.5 line at +125 odds and a 5.8% edge.
Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks (+132)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 49.8%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
A 6.7% edge on the over 18.5 blocks line makes Rudy Gobert a value play in Timberwolves vs. Spurs, with our model projecting him for 1.5 blocks at +132 odds.
Rudy Gobert over 10.5 points scored (+175)
- Edge: 13.3%
- Probability: 49.7%
- Projection: 10.3
- Game: Timberwolves vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)
Simulations project Rudy Gobert for 10.3 points scored here, creating a 13.3% edge on the over 10.5 line at +175 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Monday, May 4, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:58AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Knicks | OG Anunoby over 17.5 points scored | +102 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 54.9% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Paul George over 3.5 assists | +120 @ DraftKings | 9.2% | 54.6% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Paul George over 5.5 rebounds | +115 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 52.9% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | De'Aaron Fox over 18.5 points scored | +120 @ fanatics | 7.4% | 52.9% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Julian Champagnie over 9.5 points scored | +125 @ fanatics | 7.8% | 52.3% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Karl-Anthony Towns over 12.5 rebounds | +125 @ fanatics | 6.7% | 51.1% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Josh Hart over 12.5 points scored | +125 @ fanatics | 6.6% | 51.1% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Stephon Castle over 18.5 points scored | +125 @ fanatics | 5.8% | 50.2% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Rudy Gobert over 1.5 blocks | +132 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 49.8% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | Rudy Gobert over 10.5 points scored | +175 @ fanatics | 13.3% | 49.7% |
NBA postseason promo code for Novig
To make the most of Monday's prop picks—headlined by action on OG Anunoby—check out the below offer from Novig.
Conclusion
For May 4, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as OG Anunoby, Paul George and De'Aaron Fox. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
Advertiser disclosure