Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Spurs NBA game on May 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Timberwolves
104
102
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Timberwolves
24 21 24 35 104
Spurs
23 22 27 30 102
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Timberwolves
    24%
  • Spurs
    76%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Timberwolves
24 21 24 35 104
Spurs
23 22 27 30 102
Q4 00:00 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q2 Q3 Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  2. Q4 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:06
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:08
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-102
  7. Q4 00:32
    Timberwolves turnover
  8. Q4 00:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  9. Q4 00:34
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  10. Q4 00:43
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    104-100
  11. Q4 00:49
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    104-98
  12. Q4 1:07
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  13. Q4 1:07
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    102-98
  14. Q4 1:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  15. Q4 1:09
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  16. Q4 1:11
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 1:19
    Spurs personal foul
  18. Q4 1:19
    Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  19. Q4 1:19
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:19
    +1
    Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    102-96
  21. Q4 1:34
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:34
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    101-96
  23. Q4 1:37
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 1:44
    Spurs personal foul
  25. Q4 1:44
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    100-94
  26. Q4 1:44
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-94
  27. Q4 1:44
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  28. Q4 2:02
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    99-94
  29. Q4 2:07
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  30. Q4 2:09
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 2:30
    Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
  32. Q4 2:31
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  33. Q4 2:31
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  34. Q4 2:35
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 2:43
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  36. Q4 2:45
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  37. Q4 3:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:00
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  39. Q4 3:00
    Timberwolves personal foul
  40. Q4 3:00
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  41. Q4 3:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  42. Q4 3:00
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-92
  43. Q4 3:08
    Timberwolves personal foul
  44. Q4 3:20
    Spurs personal foul
  45. Q4 3:20
    +1
    Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-91
  46. Q4 3:20
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  47. Q4 3:20
    +1
    Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    99-91
  48. Q4 3:29
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  49. Q4 3:29
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
  50. Q4 3:31
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    97-91
  51. Q4 3:41
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    97-88
  52. Q4 4:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    95-88
  53. Q4 4:09
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  54. Q4 4:11
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 4:24
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  56. Q4 4:27
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 4:41
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  58. Q4 4:41
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  59. Q4 4:42
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    95-86
  60. Q4 4:43
    Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
  61. Q4 4:46
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  62. Q4 5:03
    Spurs violation
  63. Q4 5:03
    Timberwolves personal foul
  64. Q4 5:03
    Spurs personal foul
  65. Q4 5:03
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  66. Q4 5:18
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    92-86
  67. Q4 5:19
    Naz Reid offensive rebound
  68. Q4 5:21
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  69. Q4 5:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  70. Q4 5:31
    Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
  71. Q4 5:33
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  72. Q4 5:51
    Timberwolves personal foul
  73. Q4 5:51
    Jaden McDaniels turnover (offensive foul)
  74. Q4 5:57
    Spurs personal foul
  75. Q4 5:57
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
  76. Q4 5:59
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  77. Q4 6:01
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  78. Q4 6:28
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    90-86
  79. Q4 6:39
    Timberwolves personal foul
  80. Q4 6:39
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-85
  81. Q4 6:39
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    88-86
  82. Q4 6:39
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  83. Q4 6:49
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    88-84
  84. Q4 6:49
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  85. Q4 6:50
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  86. Q4 7:10
    Spurs turnover
  87. Q4 7:10
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  88. Q4 7:23
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    86-84
  89. Q4 7:41
    Spurs personal foul
  90. Q4 7:41
    Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
  91. Q4 7:43
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 7:54
    Timberwolves personal foul
  93. Q4 8:10
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    84-84
  94. Q4 8:22
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  95. Q4 8:22
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point jump shot
    81-84
  96. Q4 8:22
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  97. Q4 8:22
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  98. Q4 8:26
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  99. Q4 8:42
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    81-82
  100. Q4 8:44
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  101. Q4 8:46
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 9:00
    Timberwolves personal foul
  103. Q4 9:00
    Julius Randle turnover (offensive foul)
  104. Q4 9:05
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  105. Q4 9:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  106. Q4 9:20
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    82-79
  107. Q4 9:36
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    80-79
  108. Q4 9:52
    Spurs personal foul
  109. Q4 9:52
    +1
    Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    79-77
  110. Q4 9:52
    +1
    Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-77
  111. Q4 10:06
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  112. Q4 10:06
    +2
    Harrison Barnes makes two point putback layup
    78-77
  113. Q4 10:11
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  114. Q4 10:20
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    78-75
  115. Q4 10:41
    Spurs turnover
  116. Q4 10:57
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    75-75
  117. Q4 11:15
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    72-75
  118. Q4 11:22
    Timberwolves personal foul
  119. Q4 11:43
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    72-72
  120. Q3 00:00
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    69-72
  121. Q3 00:00
    Instant replay
  122. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  123. Q4 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
  124. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  125. Q3 00:03
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  126. Q3 00:05
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 00:28
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  128. Q3 00:30
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  129. Q3 00:38
    Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:38
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    69-70
  131. Q3 00:43
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  132. Q3 00:47
    Spurs turnover
  133. Q3 00:52
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    67-70
  134. Q3 1:14
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    65-70
  135. Q3 1:21
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  136. Q3 1:23
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 1:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    65-68
  138. Q3 1:47
    Timberwolves turnover
  139. Q3 1:53
    Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
  140. Q3 1:57
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  141. Q3 2:11
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  142. Q3 2:14
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    68-66
  143. Q3 2:14
    Spurs personal foul
  144. Q3 2:14
    De'Aaron Fox turnover
  145. Q3 2:14
    Instant replay
  146. Q3 2:14
    Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  147. Q3 2:14
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  148. Q3 2:14
    Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  149. Q3 2:20
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  150. Q3 2:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  151. Q3 2:22
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  152. Q3 2:26
    Spurs turnover
  153. Q3 2:36
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  154. Q3 2:36
    Spurs personal foul
  155. Q3 2:36
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  156. Q3 2:36
    Terrence Shannon Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  157. Q3 2:36
    +1
    Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    65-66
  158. Q3 2:36
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  159. Q3 2:38
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  160. Q3 2:49
    Timberwolves personal foul
  161. Q3 2:49
    Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  162. Q3 2:49
    Spurs offensive rebound
  163. Q3 2:49
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-66
  164. Q3 2:49
    Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  165. Q3 2:51
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  166. Q3 2:54
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  167. Q3 3:08
    Spurs turnover
  168. Q3 3:08
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  169. Q3 3:08
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  170. Q3 3:21
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  171. Q3 3:21
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 3:21
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  173. Q3 3:21
    Spurs personal foul
  174. Q3 3:21
    Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  175. Q3 3:21
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  176. Q3 3:21
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle)
  177. Q3 3:21
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
  178. Q3 3:21
    +1
    Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    64-65
  179. Q3 3:25
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  180. Q3 3:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    63-64
  181. Q3 3:38
    Timberwolves personal foul
  182. Q3 3:38
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle)
  183. Q3 3:38
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    63-65
  184. Q3 3:43
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  185. Q3 3:46
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 3:57
    Spurs personal foul
  187. Q3 3:57
    Luke Kornet turnover (offensive foul)
  188. Q3 3:57
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  189. Q3 3:57
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle)
  190. Q3 4:03
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    63-62
  191. Q3 4:16
    +3
    Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot
    61-62
  192. Q3 4:34
    Spurs personal foul
  193. Q3 4:34
    +1
    Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-59
  194. Q3 4:34
    +1
    Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-59
  195. Q3 4:46
    Spurs personal foul
  196. Q3 4:50
    Timberwolves personal foul
  197. Q3 4:50
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    59-58
  198. Q3 4:50
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    59-59
  199. Q3 5:01
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    59-57
  200. Q3 5:22
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    57-57
  201. Q3 5:35
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    57-55
  202. Q3 5:38
    Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
  203. Q3 5:40
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  204. Q3 5:51
    Timberwolves personal foul
  205. Q3 6:00
    Timberwolves personal foul
  206. Q3 6:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
  207. Q3 6:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  208. Q3 6:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
  209. Q3 6:08
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  210. Q3 6:11
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  211. Q3 6:33
    Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
  212. Q3 6:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  213. Q3 6:55
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  214. Q3 6:58
    Spurs personal foul
  215. Q3 6:58
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  216. Q3 6:58
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  217. Q3 6:58
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  218. Q3 6:58
    +1
    Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    55-55
  219. Q3 6:58
    Terrence Shannon Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  220. Q3 7:00
    Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
  221. Q3 7:02
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  222. Q3 7:20
    Timberwolves turnover
  223. Q3 7:31
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    54-55
  224. Q3 7:44
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 7:46
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  226. Q3 7:46
    Timberwolves turnover
  227. Q3 8:00
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  228. Q3 8:00
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  229. Q3 8:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  230. Q3 8:00
    Spurs personal foul
  231. Q3 8:24
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    54-53
  232. Q3 8:49
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    54-51
  233. Q3 8:53
    Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
  234. Q3 8:58
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  235. Q3 9:21
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  236. Q3 9:21
    Timberwolves defensive rebound
  237. Q3 9:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  238. Q3 9:34
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    52-51
  239. Q3 9:36
    Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
  240. Q3 9:38
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  241. Q3 9:57
    +2
    Julius Randle makes two point jump shot
    49-51
  242. Q3 9:58
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  243. Q3 10:04
    Spurs personal foul
  244. Q3 10:04
    Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  245. Q3 10:04
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  246. Q3 10:04
    Julius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  247. Q3 10:22
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    47-51
  248. Q3 10:25
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  249. Q3 10:28
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  250. Q3 10:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    47-49
  251. Q3 11:01
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    47-47
  252. Q3 11:17
    Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
  253. Q3 11:20
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  254. Q3 11:26
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  255. Q3 11:28
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  256. Q3 11:43
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    45-47
  257. Q2 00:00
    Spurs turnover
  258. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  259. Q3 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  260. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  261. Q2 00:19
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  262. Q2 00:22
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  263. Q2 00:34
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  264. Q2 00:39
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  265. Q2 00:45
    Jump ball. (De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
  266. Q2 00:47
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  267. Q2 1:02
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    45-45
  268. Q2 1:08
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  269. Q2 1:10
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  270. Q2 1:24
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    43-45
  271. Q2 1:30
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  272. Q2 1:30
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  273. Q2 1:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  274. Q2 1:36
    Spurs personal foul
  275. Q2 1:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  276. Q2 1:39
    Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
  277. Q2 1:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-45
  278. Q2 1:52
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  279. Q2 1:55
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 1:57
    Jaylen Clark offensive rebound
  281. Q2 2:00
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  282. Q2 2:17
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-43
  283. Q2 2:22
    Timberwolves turnover
  284. Q2 2:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    41-41
  285. Q2 2:59
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    41-39
  286. Q2 3:21
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
    39-39
  287. Q2 3:21
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  288. Q2 3:24
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  289. Q2 3:27
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  290. Q2 3:33
    Spurs personal foul
  291. Q2 3:33
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  292. Q2 3:33
    Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  293. Q2 3:38
    Mike Conley defensive rebound
  294. Q2 3:40
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  295. Q2 4:06
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    39-37
  296. Q2 4:24
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    36-37
  297. Q2 4:31
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    36-35
  298. Q2 4:43
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  299. Q2 4:45
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  300. Q2 4:45
    Luke Kornet turnover (lost ball)
  301. Q2 5:02
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    34-35
  302. Q2 5:06
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  303. Q2 5:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  304. Q2 5:13
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  305. Q2 5:15
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  306. Q2 5:17
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  307. Q2 5:19
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  308. Q2 5:33
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  309. Q2 5:34
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  310. Q2 5:45
    Spurs personal foul
  311. Q2 5:45
    Devin Vassell turnover (offensive foul)
  312. Q2 5:45
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
  313. Q2 6:07
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    32-35
  314. Q2 6:18
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  315. Q2 6:18
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  316. Q2 6:18
    Spurs personal foul
  317. Q2 6:38
    Timberwolves personal foul
  318. Q2 6:38
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    29-34
  319. Q2 6:38
    +1
    Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    29-35
  320. Q2 6:45
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  321. Q2 6:45
    Timberwolves personal foul
  322. Q2 6:45
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  323. Q2 6:45
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
  324. Q2 6:45
    Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  325. Q2 6:45
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    29-33
  326. Q2 6:47
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 6:52
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  328. Q2 6:56
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 7:09
    Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
  330. Q2 7:09
    Stoppage (Other)
  331. Q2 7:15
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  332. Q2 7:21
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  333. Q2 7:24
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 7:54
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    29-32
  335. Q2 8:02
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  336. Q2 8:02
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  337. Q2 8:03
    Julius Randle offensive rebound
  338. Q2 8:03
    Timberwolves turnover
  339. Q2 8:06
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  340. Q2 8:16
    Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
  341. Q2 8:18
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  342. Q2 8:38
    Timberwolves personal foul
  343. Q2 8:38
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  344. Q2 8:38
    Spurs offensive rebound
  345. Q2 8:38
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    29-29
  346. Q2 8:38
    Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  347. Q2 8:46
    Timberwolves personal foul
  348. Q2 8:46
    Naz Reid turnover (offensive foul)
  349. Q2 8:50
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  350. Q2 8:53
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  351. Q2 9:03
    Timberwolves turnover
  352. Q2 9:03
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  353. Q2 9:21
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    29-28
  354. Q2 9:24
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  355. Q2 9:27
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  356. Q2 9:49
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    29-25
  357. Q2 10:00
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  358. Q2 10:02
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  359. Q2 10:26
    Spurs turnover
  360. Q2 10:26
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  361. Q2 10:53
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    29-23
  362. Q2 10:59
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  363. Q2 11:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  364. Q2 11:28
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    26-23
  365. Q2 11:40
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  366. Q2 11:42
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  367. Q2 11:52
    Timberwolves personal foul
  368. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    24-23
  369. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  370. Q2 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle)
  371. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  372. Q1 00:02
    Bones Hyland defensive rebound
  373. Q1 00:04
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  374. Q1 00:24
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  375. Q1 00:26
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  376. Q1 00:32
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  377. Q1 00:35
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  378. Q1 00:40
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  379. Q1 00:43
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  380. Q1 00:51
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    22-23
  381. Q1 00:57
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  382. Q1 00:59
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  383. Q1 1:07
    Timberwolves personal foul
  384. Q1 1:07
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-20
  385. Q1 1:07
    Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  386. Q1 1:07
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-21
  387. Q1 1:27
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    22-19
  388. Q1 1:31
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  389. Q1 1:34
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  390. Q1 1:44
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    19-19
  391. Q1 2:04
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    17-19
  392. Q1 2:28
    +3
    Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
    17-17
  393. Q1 2:43
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  394. Q1 2:43
    Timberwolves 60 second timeout
  395. Q1 2:43
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  396. Q1 2:45
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  397. Q1 2:47
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  398. Q1 2:50
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  399. Q1 2:50
    Naz Reid turnover (lost ball)
  400. Q1 2:50
    Naz Reid turnover (lost ball)
  401. Q1 3:01
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  402. Q1 3:04
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  403. Q1 3:04
    De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball)
  404. Q1 3:16
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  405. Q1 3:16
    Timberwolves personal foul
  406. Q1 3:16
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
  407. Q1 3:16
    Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Bones Hyland)
  408. Q1 3:19
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  409. Q1 3:24
    Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
  410. Q1 3:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  411. Q1 3:47
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    14-17
  412. Q1 4:01
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  413. Q1 4:01
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  414. Q1 4:01
    Naz Reid defensive rebound
  415. Q1 4:01
    Spurs personal foul
  416. Q1 4:04
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  417. Q1 4:26
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    12-17
  418. Q1 4:44
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    10-17
  419. Q1 5:06
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    10-14
  420. Q1 5:25
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    8-14
  421. Q1 5:27
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  422. Q1 5:29
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  423. Q1 5:36
    Timberwolves personal foul
  424. Q1 5:36
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
  425. Q1 5:36
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
  426. Q1 5:38
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  427. Q1 5:41
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  428. Q1 5:48
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  429. Q1 5:51
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  430. Q1 6:12
    Timberwolves turnover
  431. Q1 6:21
    Spurs turnover
  432. Q1 6:33
    Timberwolves personal foul
  433. Q1 6:39
    Timberwolves turnover
  434. Q1 6:53
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  435. Q1 6:53
    Timberwolves offensive rebound
  436. Q1 6:53
    Spurs personal foul
  437. Q1 6:53
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  438. Q1 6:53
    Spurs challenge timeout
  439. Q1 6:53
    Instant replay
  440. Q1 6:53
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  441. Q1 6:53
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  442. Q1 6:53
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
  443. Q1 7:03
    Julius Randle defensive rebound
  444. Q1 7:06
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  445. Q1 7:14
    Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
  446. Q1 7:14
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    8-11
  447. Q1 7:20
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  448. Q1 7:35
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    6-11
  449. Q1 7:45
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  450. Q1 7:47
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 8:10
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    6-8
  452. Q1 8:18
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  453. Q1 8:21
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  454. Q1 8:36
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  455. Q1 8:38
    Timberwolves personal foul
  456. Q1 8:38
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    6-6
  457. Q1 8:38
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  458. Q1 8:51
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    6-5
  459. Q1 8:59
    Mike Conley defensive rebound
  460. Q1 9:01
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  461. Q1 9:13
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    4-5
  462. Q1 9:25
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    2-5
  463. Q1 9:30
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  464. Q1 9:34
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  465. Q1 9:51
    Spurs personal foul
  466. Q1 9:51
    Julian Champagnie turnover (offensive foul)
  467. Q1 9:51
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  468. Q1 10:00
    +2
    Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  469. Q1 10:00
    Spurs personal foul
  470. Q1 10:00
    Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  471. Q1 10:00
    Spurs defensive rebound
  472. Q1 10:14
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  473. Q1 10:28
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  474. Q1 10:31
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  475. Q1 10:36
    Spurs personal foul
  476. Q1 10:45
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  477. Q1 10:48
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  478. Q1 10:56
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  479. Q1 11:00
    Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
  480. Q1 11:10
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  481. Q1 11:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  482. Q1 11:16
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  483. Q1 11:20
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  484. Q1 11:23
    Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
  485. Q1 11:25
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  486. Q1 11:35
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  487. Q1 11:38
    Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
  488. Q1 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
  489. Q1 12:00
    Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
  490. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  491. Q1 12:00
    (Julius Randle gains possession)
Box Score
Timberwolves
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Timberwolves vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Timberwolves vs. Spurs
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +348, Spurs -344

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Timberwolves: 22%
  • Spurs: 78%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 105-114 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 22%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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