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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Spurs NBA game on May 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
104
102
May 5, 1:30 AM Frost Bank Center
May 5, 1:30 AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Pro Bets
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 24 | 21 | 24 | 35 | 104 |
Spurs | 23 | 22 | 27 | 30 | 102 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
24%
76%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 24 | 21 | 24 | 35 | 104 |
Spurs | 23 | 22 | 27 | 30 | 102 |
Q4 00:00 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:49 Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:07 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:11 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:34 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:37 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
End of 4th Quarter.
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-102
Timberwolves turnover
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
104-100
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
104-98
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
102-98
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Rudy Gobert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
102-96
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
101-96
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-94
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
101-94
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-94
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-92
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-91
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
99-91
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
97-91
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
97-88
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
95-88
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
95-86
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs violation
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
92-86
Naz Reid offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Jaden McDaniels turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
90-86
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
88-85
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
88-86
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
88-84
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
86-84
Spurs personal foul
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
84-84
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point jump shot
81-84
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
81-82
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Julius Randle turnover (offensive foul)
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
82-79
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
80-79
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-77
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-77
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
+2
Harrison Barnes makes two point putback layup
78-77
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
78-75
Spurs turnover
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
75-75
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
72-75
Timberwolves personal foul
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
72-72
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-72
Instant replay
End of 3rd Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
69-70
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs turnover
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
67-70
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-70
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
65-68
Timberwolves turnover
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
68-66
Spurs personal foul
De'Aaron Fox turnover
Instant replay
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Terrence Shannon Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
65-66
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-66
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
64-65
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
63-64
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 1
63-65
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Luke Kornet turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Julius Randle)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
63-62
+3
Devin Vassell makes three point jump shot
61-62
Spurs personal foul
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-59
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-59
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-58
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
59-59
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
59-57
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
57-57
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
57-55
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
+1
Terrence Shannon Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
55-55
Terrence Shannon Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
54-55
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
54-53
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
54-51
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
52-51
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Julius Randle makes two point jump shot
49-51
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Julius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
47-51
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
47-49
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
47-47
Terrence Shannon Jr. defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
45-47
Spurs turnover
End of 1st Half.
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Jump ball. (De'Aaron Fox gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
45-45
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-45
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Julius Randle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-45
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Clark offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-43
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
41-41
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
41-39
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
39-39
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Jaylen Clark, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
39-37
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
36-37
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
36-35
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet turnover (lost ball)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
34-35
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Devin Vassell turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
32-35
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-34
+1
Luke Kornet makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-35
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Naz Reid, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
+1
Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
29-33
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Stoppage (Other)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Devin Vassell defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
29-32
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle offensive rebound
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-29
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Timberwolves personal foul
Naz Reid turnover (offensive foul)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
29-28
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-25
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
29-23
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
26-23
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
24-23
End of 1st Quarter.
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Bones Hyland, Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
22-23
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
22-20
Timberwolves lineup change (Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Bones Hyland, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
22-21
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
22-19
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
19-19
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
17-19
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
17-17
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Naz Reid turnover (lost ball)
Naz Reid turnover (lost ball)
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox turnover (lost ball)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Jaylen Clark, Bones Hyland)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
14-17
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Naz Reid defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
12-17
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
10-17
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
10-14
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-14
Devin Vassell offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Naz Reid, Terrence Shannon Jr.)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Spurs turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs challenge timeout
Instant replay
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Anthony Edwards, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Keldon Johnson)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
8-11
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
6-11
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
6-8
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-6
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
6-5
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
4-5
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
2-5
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Julian Champagnie turnover (offensive foul)
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
2-2
Spurs personal foul
Rudy Gobert misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Spurs defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
0-2
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Rudy Gobert defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie)
Timberwolves lineup change (Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert, Mike Conley, Terrence Shannon Jr., Julius Randle)
Start of 1st Quarter
(Julius Randle gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -10.5
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +348, Spurs -344
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 22%
- Spurs: 78%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 105-114 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 22%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 78%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
