NBA player props today: Friday's best props include Cameron Boozer [10/23/2026]

Cameron Boozer under 8.5 rebounds (-144)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 69.5%
• Projection: 4.0
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Grizzlies' Cameron Boozer under 8.5 rebounds. A probability of 69.5% gives this play an edge of 10.5% at -144 odds.

Kawhi Leonard over 23.5 points (-116)

• Edge: 6.2%
• Probability: 60.0%
• Projection: 28.5
• Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Kawhi Leonard’s points prop shows a 6.2% edge at -116 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 28.5 points on the over 23.5 line.

Lauri Markkanen over 19.5 points (47¢)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 59.8%
• Projection: 24.4
• Game: Pelicans vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Lauri Markkanen over 19.5 points, with simulations showing a 59.8% probability and a 12.3% edge at 47¢.

Giannis Antetokounmpo over 5.5 assists (54¢)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 59.6%
• Projection: 7.2
• Game: Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Giannis Antetokounmpo to put up 7.2 assists today, creating an edge of 5.1% on the over 5.5 line at 54¢ odds.

Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists (-106)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Projection: 7.2
• Game: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Scottie Barnes over 5.5 assists for Raptors, showing an edge of 8.1% at -106 odds.

Ayo Dosunmu over 9.5 points (49¢)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Projection: 13.8
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Magic (7:00PM ET)

Ayo Dosunmu’s points prop shows an edge of 9.7% at 49¢ odds, according to our model, which projects him for 13.8 today.

Jaylen Wells over 9.5 points (34¢)

• Edge: 24.1%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Projection: 13.5
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Jaylen Wells for 13.5 points for Grizzlies, creating an edge of 24.1% on over 9.5 at 34¢ odds.

Jrue Holiday over 3.5 assists (50¢)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 57.4%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jrue Holiday for 4.8 assists, creating value on the over 3.5 line at 50¢ odds and a 7.4% edge.

Bobby Portis over 9.5 points (47¢)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Projection: 12.7
• Game: Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

A 9.3% edge on the over 3.5 points line makes Bobby Portis a value play in Pistons vs. Heat, with our model projecting him for 12.7 points at 47¢ odds.

Ace Bailey over 9.5 points (50¢)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Projection: 12.7
• Game: Pelicans vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET)

Simulations project Ace Bailey for 12.7 points here, creating a 6.7% edge on the over 9.5 line at 50¢ odds.

NBA player prop summary: Friday, October 23, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:16AM ET:

Conclusion

For October 23, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Cameron Boozer, Kawhi Leonard and Lauri Markkanen. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.