NBA picks today: Friday's best bets include Raptors vs. Wizards play [10/23/2026]

Wizards +5.5 (+116)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Wizards +5.5 at +116 odds. A 54.4% probability produces an edge of 8.1%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Bulls ML (+100)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 57.1%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Bucks (4:00PM ET)

Bulls ML carries a 7.1% edge and a probability of 57.1% at 50¢ odds, according to our model.

Heat ML (50¢)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 55%
• Matchup: Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

Heat ML at 50¢ odds shows a 5.5% edge, supported by a 55% probability in simulations.

Bucks -1.5 (+106)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Bucks (4:00PM ET)

A 5.1% edge and 53.7% probability makes Bucks -1.5 vs. Bulls a value play in the Bulls vs. Bucks matchup, per our model.

Warriors ML (-137)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

Warriors ML at -137 presents a 4.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 62.7%.

Clippers +8.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Clippers +8.5 at -102, supported by an edge of 4.7%.

Hawks ML (-133)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 61.7%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Hawks-Hornets to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at 57¢. A 61.7% probability produces a 4.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Pacers ML (-208)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 72.1%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

A 4.6% edge on a 72.1% probability makes Pacers to win at 68¢a solid value play in today's Mavericks vs. Pacers matchup.

Heat -1.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Heat -1.5 at -102. A 54.8% probability produces a 4.3% edge, making Heat the favorable side in today's matchup.

Spurs ML (-186)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 69%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Spurs to defeat Rockets at 65¢ shows a 69% probability and a 4.0% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Friday, 10/23/2026

As of 3:03AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [10/23/2026]

• Bulls vs. Bucks (4:00PM ET, Friday)
• Knicks vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Mavericks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Magic (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Raptors vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Hawks vs. Hornets (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Pistons vs. Heat (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Rockets vs. Spurs (9:30PM ET, Friday)
• Pelicans vs. Jazz (9:30PM ET, Friday)
• Clippers vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for October 23, 2026, featuring plays such as Wizards +5.5 vs. Raptors and Bulls ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.