Pelicans vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Pelicans vs. Jazz prediction for Friday, October 23, 2026 including our projected final score and probabilities for the moneyline, spread, and game total.
NBA
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pelicans
Predicted score
118
:
122
Delta Center
Jazz
Delta Center
Pre-Game Probabilities Last updated:

Spread

Pelicans +3.5
Spread
  • Pelicans
    54.6%
    NovigNovig
  • Jazz
    45.4%
    NovigNovig
Projected Box Score
Pelicans
Player PtsRebAst
T. Murphy
Z. Williamson
D. Murray
S. Bey
J. Fears
Jazz
Player PtsRebAst
L. Markkanen
K. George
J. Jackson
A. Bailey
B. Sensabaugh

Pelicans vs. Jazz prediction & analysis

Game overview: NBA Friday

  • Teams: New Orleans Pelicans vs. Utah Jazz
  • Date: Friday, October 23, 2026
  • Tip-off: 9:30PM ET
  • Venue: Delta Center

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Pelicans (+3.5, +104), Jazz (-3.5, -113)
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +152, Jazz -150
  • Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points (+100/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Pelicans: 37.3%
  • Jazz: 62.7%

Our NBA win probabilities come from a machine learning model that assesses each team's offensive and defensive performance, along with factors such as recent form, player availability, home-court advantage, and matchup dynamics.

The model uses these projections to forecast probabilities for the moneyline, spread, total points, and the final score.

Projected Final Score

Our model projects the final score for this NBA matchup as Pelicans 118 and Jazz 121.

This is a margin of 3 points against a spread of 3.5, and a projected total of 239 points against a market line of 241.5.

A projected score is the middle of a range, not a forecast of the exact result. Use it to see how the game is likely to play out and how each side projects against the spread.

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Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 37.3%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 62.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Jazz are more likely to beat the Pelicans in the NBA game at Delta Center on Friday.

That is the straight-up read. Whether either side is worth backing depends on the price, which is what our betting model rates.

Responsible gambling

Dimers’ predictions and betting insights are here to inform your decisions, not to make them for you. If you are betting on Pelicans vs. Jazz, set your limits in advance and stay within them. For support, visit our responsible gambling resources.

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