Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of Tuesday's NBA slate.
Our NBA first basket predictions for December 2, 2025, are based on Tuesday's latest data and matchups.
Our NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, December 02, 2025, have landed—with Tyrese Maxey of the 76ers the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
Tuesday's first basket predictions pull from our full list of NBA first basket odds and player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.
Who will score the first basket tonight? [December 2, 2025]
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Tyrese Maxey, with a probability of 15.7%.
Player (Team)
FB Probability
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)
15.7%
CJ McCollum (Wizards)
15.6%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)
15.5%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)
15.4%
De'Aaron Fox (Spurs)
14.9%
Deni Avdija (Trail Blazers)
14.6%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)
14.4%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)
14.4%
Jeremiah Fears (Pelicans)
12.8%
Brandon Ingram (Raptors)
11.9%
Following Maxey closely are CJ McCollum at 15.6% and Jaylen Brown at 15.5%.
Anthony Edwards and De'Aaron Fox also feature, with the full list of first basket projections for Tuesday available via today’s NBA player projections.
Tyrese Maxey is one of the most likely NBA players to score the first basket on Tuesday, December 2, 2025.
Best NBA first basket picks [12/2/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Thunder and Warriors. The bet is on Quinten Post (GSW) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.9% according to our analysis.
Although Post doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Tuesday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those looking for an edge on the market.
For December 2, 2025, our NBA first basket predictions feature big-name players including Tyrese Maxey, CJ McCollum and Jaylen Brown—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to betting value, it’s Quinten Post who emerges as the top play, showing a calculated 2.9% edge at +1200 odds.
These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable base for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
