MLS betting tips: Saturday's picks include Atlanta vs. Orlando play [5/16/2026]

Orlando ML (+110)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 53.6%
• Matchup: Atlanta vs. Orlando (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Orlando to defeat Atlanta at +110 odds. A 53.6% probability produces an edge of 6.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLS slate.

NY Red Bulls ML (+160)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 42%
• Matchup: NY City vs. NY Red Bulls (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

NY Red Bulls ML carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 42% at +160 odds, according to our model.

Colorado ML (+370)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 24.1%
• Matchup: Colorado vs. Salt Lake (9:30PM ET, Saturday)

Colorado ML at +370 odds shows a 2.8% edge, supported by a 24.1% probability in simulations.

NY City vs. NY Red Bulls over 2.5 goals (-170)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 65.8%
• Matchup: NY City vs. NY Red Bulls (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

A 2.8% edge and 65.8% probability make NY City vs. NY Red Bulls over 2.5 goals at a value play in the NY City vs. NY Red Bulls matchup, per our model.

Charlotte ML (-135)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 60.1%
• Matchup: Toronto vs. Charlotte (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Charlotte ML at -135 odds presents a 2.6% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 60.1%.

Philadelphia ML (+135)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 45%
• Matchup: Columbus vs. Philadelphia (7:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on Philadelphia to win at +135 odds, supported by an edge of 2.4%.

Montreal ML (+185)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 37.2%
• Matchup: Chicago vs. Montreal (4:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Montreal ML at +185 odds. A 37.2% probability produces a 2.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLS action.

MLS best bets summary: Saturday, 5/16/2026

As of 2:02AM ET, here are our top MLS bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLS games to bet on [5/16/2026]

• Chicago vs. Montreal (4:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Minnesota vs. New England (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Toronto vs. Charlotte (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Columbus vs. Philadelphia (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• NY City vs. NY Red Bulls (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Atlanta vs. Orlando (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• St Louis City vs. D.C. United (7:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Sporting KC vs. Austin (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Vancouver vs. Houston (8:30PM ET, Saturday)
• LA Galaxy vs. Seattle (9:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC (9:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Colorado vs. Salt Lake (9:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Dallas vs. San Jose (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our MLS best bets are locked and loaded for May 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Orlando ML and NY Red Bulls ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.