LA Galaxy vs. Seattle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. Seattle MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
2
0
Lumen Field
Seattle
Lumen Field
SeattleSEA
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
Gabriel Pec (23')
Soccer ball icon
Matheus Nascimento (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Seattle
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Matheus Nascimento, assisted by Gabriel Pec
    2-0
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Yoshida replaces E. Cerrillo
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    E. Cerrillo (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  4. 89'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marcinkowski (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: Matheus Nascimento replaces J. Paintsil
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: S. Gomez replaces S. Brunell
  7. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: H. Miller replaces M. Reus
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: L. Sanabria replaces E. Thommy
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: M. Cuevas replaces M. Yamane
  10. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: P. Rothrock replaces P. Arriola
  11. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: O. De Rosario replaces J. Ferreira
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: C. Roldan replaces A. Lopez
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: K. Kossa-Rienzi replaces P. Kingston
  14. 45'
    Yellow Card
    M. Yamane (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  15. 44'
    Yellow Card
    P. Kingston (Seattle Sounders) cautioned
  16. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by Gabriel Pec, assisted by M. Reus
    1-0
  17. 12'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Seattle Sounders: A. Rusnak replaces D. Musovski
  18. 12'
    Yellow Card
    J. Haak (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned

LA Galaxy vs. Seattle: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. Seattle
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 9:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Lumen Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy +370, Seattle -145, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-225/+170)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 19.8%
  • Seattle: 59.2%
  • Draw: 21.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-2 Seattle (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win LA Galaxy vs. Seattle? Prediction & correct score

Seattle is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.2%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-2 Seattle.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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