Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
Cincinnati
3
:
3
May 16, 9:30 PM ET Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC
May 16, 9:30 PM ET Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
M. Ingvartsen (32')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pellegrino (66')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ingvartsen (90')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mboma (11')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barlow (50')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barlow (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
T. Barlow (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Denkey
90'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Saidi replaces O. Valakari
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen, assisted by A. Saidi
2-3
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow, assisted by A. Jabbari
3-3
87'
Yellow Card
O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces A. Pellegrino
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo replaces N. Hagglund
73'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. J. Ramirez Leon replaces K. Mboma
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces D. Vazquez
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Pellegrino, assisted by P. Soma
2-2
54'
Yellow Card
D. Vazquez (San Diego FC) cautioned
50'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow, assisted by Evander
2-1
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces G. Valenzuela
46'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Smith replaces M. Robinson
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: P. Soma replaces A. Godoy
46'
Substitution
Substitution for San Diego FC: O. Verhoeven replaces K. Sargeant
32'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen, assisted by K. Sargeant
1-1
24'
Yellow Card
M. Robinson (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
11'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Mboma, assisted by Evander
1-0

Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +250, San Diego FC -105, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+260)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 28.2%
  • San Diego FC: 51.1%
  • Draw: 20.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-2 San Diego FC (8.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with a free 3-day trial—cancel anytime.

Who will win Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC? Prediction & correct score

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.1%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-2 San Diego FC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.