Vancouver vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Vancouver vs. Houston MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Vancouver
0
1
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
VancouverVAN
Guilherme (90')
Soccer ball icon
Y. Takaoka (64')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Vancouver
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme, assisted by Artur
    0-1
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces M. Bogusz
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: R. Elloumi replaces J. Badwal
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces J. McGlynn
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: R. Veselinovic replaces E. Ocampo
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: A. Jackson replaces T. Muller
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: I. Boehmer replaces K. G. Cabrera Nakamura
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: M. Gherasimencov replaces T. Johnson
  9. 64'
    Red Card
    Y. Takaoka (Vancouver Whitecaps) sent off with a straight red card
  10. 62'
    Yellow Card
    A. Cubas (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
  11. 54'
    Yellow Card
    A. Resch (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  12. 49'
    Yellow Card
    E. Ocampo (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    T. Johnson (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
  14. 41'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: A. Cubas replaces O. Larraz
  15. 34'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bouzat replaces D. Samassekou
  16. 11'
    Yellow Card
    K. G. Cabrera Nakamura (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned

Vancouver vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Vancouver vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Vancouver +100, Houston +260, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Vancouver: 48.7%
  • Houston: 27.8%
  • Draw: 23.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Vancouver 1-1 Houston (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Vancouver vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Vancouver is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 48.7%.

The most likely correct score is Vancouver 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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