Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Cincinnati
3
:
3
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
M. Ingvartsen (32')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pellegrino (66')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ingvartsen (90')
Soccer ball icon
K. Mboma (11')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barlow (50')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barlow (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Barlow (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Denkey
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Saidi replaces O. Valakari
  4. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen, assisted by A. Saidi
    2-3
  5. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow, assisted by A. Jabbari
    3-3
  6. 87'
    Yellow Card
    O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  7. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr replaces A. Pellegrino
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: O. Nwobodo replaces N. Hagglund
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: B. J. Ramirez Leon replaces K. Mboma
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces D. Vazquez
  11. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Pellegrino, assisted by P. Soma
    2-2
  12. 54'
    Yellow Card
    D. Vazquez (San Diego FC) cautioned
  13. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow, assisted by Evander
    2-1
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces G. Valenzuela
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: K. Smith replaces M. Robinson
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: P. Soma replaces A. Godoy
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: O. Verhoeven replaces K. Sargeant
  18. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen, assisted by K. Sargeant
    1-1
  19. 24'
    Yellow Card
    M. Robinson (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  20. 11'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Mboma, assisted by Evander
    1-0

Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +250, San Diego FC -105, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-350/+260)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 28.2%
  • San Diego FC: 51.1%
  • Draw: 20.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-2 San Diego FC (8.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Cincinnati vs. San Diego FC? Prediction & correct score

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 51.1%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-2 San Diego FC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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