MLB player props today: Wednesday's best props include Erick Fedde [5/12/2026]

Erick Fedde over 2.5 strikeouts (-217)

• Edge: 8.0%
• Probability: 76.5%
• Game: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on CHI White Sox' Erick Fedde over 2.5 strikeouts. A probability of 76.5% gives this play an edge of 8.0% at -217 odds.

Grant Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts (-208)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 75.9%
• Game: Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Grant Holmes’s strikeouts prop shows a 75.9% probability and an 8.3% edge at -208 odds, according to our model.

Will Warren under 2.5 walks allowed (-203)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 72.0%
• Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

The data highlights value on Will Warren under 2.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 72.0% probability and a 5.0% edge at -203.

Trevor Rogers under 2.5 walks allowed (-196)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 70.4%
• Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (6:35PM ET)

Our model finds value on Trevor Rogers under 2.5 walks allowed, with a 70.4% probability and an edge of 4.2% at -196 odds.

Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts (-136)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 66.0%
• Game: Tigers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts for NY Mets, showing an edge of 8.3% at -136 odds.

Jack Flaherty under 2.5 walks allowed (-127)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Tigers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Jack Flaherty’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 9.2% at -127 odds, supported by a 65.2% probability according to our model.

Adrian Houser over 14.5 outs recorded (-143)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Game: Giants vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Adrian Houser over 14.5 outs recorded for San Francisco, with a 62.7% probability and a 3.9% edge at -143 odds.

Colin Rea over 15.5 outs recorded (-116)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 62.4%
• Game: Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

The data shows value on Colin Rea over 15.5 outs recorded, supported by a 62.4% probability at -116 odds and an edge of 8.7%.

Eury Perez under 5.5 strikeouts (-137)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Marlins vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

A 4.4% edge on the under 15.5 strikeouts line makes Eury Perez a value play in Marlins vs. Twins, supported by a 62.2% probability at -137 odds.

Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs (-135)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 61.7%
• Game: Tigers vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)

Simulations show value on Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs here, with a 61.7% probability and 4.3% edge at -135 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Royals vs. White Sox	Erick Fedde over 2.5 strikeouts	-217 @ Fanatics	8.0%	76.5%
Cubs vs. Braves	Grant Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts	-208 @ Fanatics	8.3%	75.9%
Yankees vs. Orioles	Will Warren under 2.5 walks allowed	-203 @ DraftKings	4.2%	70.4%
Yankees vs. Orioles	Trevor Rogers under 2.5 walks allowed	-196 @ DraftKings	4.2%	70.4%
Tigers vs. Mets	Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts	-136 @ DraftKings	8.3%	66.0%
Tigers vs. Mets	Jack Flaherty under 2.5 walks allowed	-127 @ DraftKings	9.2%	65.2%
Giants vs. Dodgers	Adrian Houser over 14.5 outs recorded	-143 @ DraftKings	3.9%	62.7%
Cubs vs. Braves	Colin Rea over 15.5 outs recorded	-116 @ DraftKings	8.7%	62.4%
Marlins vs. Twins	Eury Perez under 5.5 strikeouts	-137 @ DraftKings	4.4%	62.2%
Tigers vs. Mets	Freddy Peralta over 1.5 earned runs	-135 @ DraftKings	4.3%	61.7%

Conclusion

For May 12, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Erick Fedde, Grant Holmes and Will Warren. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.