MLB player props today: Monday's best props include Jake Irvin [5/18/2026]

Jake Irvin under 4.5 strikeouts (-147)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 67.8%
• Game: Mets vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

Our model has found value on Washington's Jake Irvin under 4.5 strikeouts. A probability of 67.8% gives this play an edge of 8.2% at -147 odds.

Slade Cecconi over 3.5 strikeouts (-147)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Guardians vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

Slade Cecconi’s strikeouts prop shows a 66.8% probability and an 7.2% edge at -147 odds, according to our model.

Jose Quintana over 2.5 strikeouts (-161)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 65.0%
• Game: Rangers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Jose Quintana over 2.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.0% probability and a 3.3% edge at -161.

Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts (-118)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 63.4%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cubs (7:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 63.4% probability and an edge of 9.2% at -118 odds.

Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts (-122)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 62.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Framber Valdez over 4.5 strikeouts for Detroit, showing an edge of 7.9% at -122 odds.

Christian Scott under 4.5 strikeouts (-122)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Mets vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

Christian Scott’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 7.9% at -122 odds, supported by a 62.8% probability according to our model.

Ryan Weathers under 5.5 strikeouts (-134)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 61.4%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Ryan Weathers under 5.5 strikeouts for NY Yankees, with a 61.4% probability and a 4.2% edge at -134 odds.

Jake Burger over 1.5 bases (-111)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Game: Rangers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Jake Burger over 1.5 bases, supported by a 61.3% probability at -111 odds and an edge of 8.7%.

MJ Melendez to get a hit (-141)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 60.9%
• Game: Mets vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)

A 2.4% edge on the to get a hit line makes MJ Melendez a value play in Mets vs. Nationals, supported by a 60.9% probability at -141 odds.

Rob Refsnyder over 0.5 bases (-120)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Game: White Sox vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Rob Refsnyder over 0.5 bases here, with a 60.3% probability and 5.7% edge at -120 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Monday, May 18, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:35AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 18, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Jake Irvin, Slade Cecconi and Jose Quintana. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.