MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Parker Messick [7/10/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 10, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Parker Messick, Chris Sale and Sandy Alcantara.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Cubs vs. Reds and Athletics vs. White Sox, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Friday, 7/10
Sourced from 30+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 10, ranked by probability.
Parker Messick under 5.5 strikeouts (-166)
- Edge: 8.9%
- Probability: 71.3%
- Game: Guardians vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on Cleveland's Parker Messick under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 71.3% gives this play an edge of 8.9% at -166 odds.
Chris Sale over 5.5 strikeouts (-145)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Game: Braves vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)
Chris Sale’s strikeouts prop shows a 62.3% probability and an 3.1% edge at -145 odds, according to our model.
Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts (-132)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 61.5%
- Game: Guardians vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 61.5% probability and a 4.6% edge at -132.
Tyler Callihan over 0.5 bases (-130)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Game: Brewers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Tyler Callihan over 0.5 bases, with a 60.4% probability and an edge of 3.8% at -130 odds.
Tyler Callihan to get a hit (-130)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Game: Brewers vs. Pirates (6:40PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Tyler Callihan to get a hit for Pittsburgh, showing an edge of 3.8% at -130 odds.
Jim Jarvis over 0.5 bases (-105)
- Edge: 8.6%
- Probability: 59.8%
- Game: Braves vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)
Jim Jarvis’s bases prop shows an edge of 8.6% at -105 odds, supported by a 59.8% probability according to our model.
Jim Jarvis to get a hit (-110)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 59.8%
- Game: Braves vs. Cardinals (8:15PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Jim Jarvis to get a hit for Atlanta, with a 59.8% probability and a 7.4% edge at -110 odds.
Shota Imanaga under 17.5 outs recorded (-106)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Game: Cubs vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Shota Imanaga under 17.5 outs recorded, supported by a 59.4% probability at -106 odds and an edge of 7.9%.
Rece Hinds over 0.5 bases (+105)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Game: Guardians vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)
An 8.0% edge on the over 17.5 bases line makes Rece Hinds a value play in Guardians vs. Marlins, supported by a 56.7% probability at +105 odds.
Rece Hinds to get a hit (+100)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Game: Guardians vs. Marlins (7:10PM ET)
Simulations show value on Rece Hinds to get a hit here, with a 56.7% probability and 6.7% edge at +100 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Friday, July 10, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:19AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians vs. Marlins | Parker Messick under 5.5 strikeouts | -166 @ DraftKings | 8.9% | 71.3% |
| Braves vs. Cardinals | Chris Sale over 5.5 strikeouts | -145 @ Fanatics | 3.1% | 62.3% |
| Guardians vs. Marlins | Sandy Alcantara under 5.5 strikeouts | -132 @ DraftKings | 3.8% | 60.4% |
| Brewers vs. Pirates | Tyler Callihan over 0.5 bases | -130 @ Fanatics | 3.8% | 60.4% |
| Brewers vs. Pirates | Tyler Callihan to get a hit | -130 @ Fanatics | 3.8% | 60.4% |
| Braves vs. Cardinals | Jim Jarvis over 0.5 bases | -105 @ Fanatics | 8.6% | 59.8% |
| Braves vs. Cardinals | Jim Jarvis to get a hit | -110 @ Fanatics | 7.4% | 59.8% |
| Cubs vs. Reds | Shota Imanaga under 17.5 outs recorded | -106 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 59.4% |
| Guardians vs. Marlins | Rece Hinds over 0.5 bases | +105 @ Fanatics | 8.0% | 56.7% |
| Guardians vs. Marlins | Rece Hinds to get a hit | +100 @ Fanatics | 6.7% | 56.7% |
Conclusion
For July 10, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Parker Messick, Chris Sale and Sandy Alcantara. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
