Jul 3, 2026
MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Brewers vs. Diamondbacks play [7/3/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Kyle Harrison [7/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 3, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Kyle Harrison, Miguel Amaya and Mitch Keller.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Brewers vs. D-Backs and Marlins vs. Athletics, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Friday, 7/3
Sourced from 60+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 3, ranked by probability.
Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts (-150)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 69.6%
- Game: Brewers vs. D-Backs (9:45PM ET)
Our model has found value on Milwaukee's Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.6% gives this play an edge of 9.6% at -150 odds.
Miguel Amaya to get a hit (-151)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 63.5%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Cubs (4:05PM ET)
Miguel Amaya’s to get a hit prop shows a 63.5% probability and an 3.3% edge at -151 odds, according to our model.
Mitch Keller over 3.5 strikeouts (-149)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: Pirates vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)
The data highlights value on Mitch Keller over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.1% probability and a 3.3% edge at -149.
Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts (-148)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts, with a 63.1% probability and an edge of 3.4% at -148 odds.
Dylan Cease under 7.5 strikeouts (-114)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Dylan Cease under 7.5 strikeouts for Toronto, showing an edge of 9.3% at -114 odds.
Christian Scott under 4.5 strikeouts (-113)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 60.8%
- Game: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Christian Scott’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 7.8% at -113 odds, supported by a 60.8% probability according to our model.
Kyle Harrison under 16.5 outs recorded (-105)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 60.5%
- Game: Brewers vs. D-Backs (9:45PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Kyle Harrison under 16.5 outs recorded for Milwaukee, with a 60.5% probability and a 9.3% edge at -105 odds.
Michael King over 4.5 strikeouts (-130)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Michael King over 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 59.1% probability at -130 odds and an edge of 2.6%.
Grant Holmes over 4.5 strikeouts (-110)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Game: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
A 6.4% edge on the over 4.5 strikeouts line makes Grant Holmes a value play in Mets vs. Braves, supported by a 58.8% probability at -110 odds.
Jorge Mateo to get a hit (-110)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Game: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Simulations show value on Jorge Mateo to get a hit here, with a 58.8% probability and 6.4% edge at -110 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Friday, July 3, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:24AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers vs. D-Backs | Kyle Harrison under 5.5 strikeouts | -150 @ Fanatics | 9.6% | 69.6% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Miguel Amaya to get a hit | -151 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 63.5% |
| Pirates vs. Nationals | Mitch Keller over 3.5 strikeouts | -149 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 63.1% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Luis Castillo over 4.5 strikeouts | -148 @ FanDuel | 3.4% | 63.1% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Dylan Cease under 7.5 strikeouts | -114 @ DraftKings | 9.3% | 62.6% |
| Mets vs. Braves | Christian Scott under 4.5 strikeouts | -113 @ FanDuel | 7.8% | 60.8% |
| Brewers vs. D-Backs | Kyle Harrison under 16.5 outs recorded | -105 @ DraftKings | 9.3% | 60.5% |
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Michael King over 4.5 strikeouts | -130 @ Fanatics | 2.6% | 59.1% |
| Mets vs. Braves | Grant Holmes over 4.5 strikeouts | -110 @ DraftKings | 6.4% | 58.8% |
| Mets vs. Braves | Jorge Mateo to get a hit | -110 @ DraftKings | 6.4% | 58.8% |
Conclusion
For July 3, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Kyle Harrison, Miguel Amaya and Mitch Keller. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
