MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Brewers vs. Diamondbacks play [7/3/2026]

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 59.3%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (9:45PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Brewers vs. Diamondbacks at -108 odds. A 59.3% probability produces an edge of 7.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Diamondbacks ML (+150)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 44.1%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (9:45PM ET)

Diamondbacks ML carries a 4.4% edge and a probability of 44.1% at +150 odds, according to our model.

Red Sox vs. Angels Over 8 runs (-105)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 55.4%
• Matchup: Red Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Red Sox vs. Angels Over 8 runs at -105 odds shows a 4.2% edge, supported by a 55.4% probability in simulations.

Mets ML (+113)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 50%
• Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

A 2.9% edge and 50% probability makes Mets at the moneyline a value play in the Mets vs. Braves matchup, per our model.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Under 10.5 runs (-108)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Cardinals vs. Cubs (4:05PM ET)

Cardinals vs. Cubs Under 10.5 runs at -108 odds presents a 2.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.6%.

Astros ML (+100)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 52.7%
• Matchup: Rays vs. Astros (8:15PM ET)

Our model finds value on Astros to win at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 2.5%.

Padres vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs (+113)

• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 49.5%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Padres vs. Dodgers Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds. A 49.5% probability produces a 2.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Diamondbacks +1.5 (-113)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (9:45PM ET)

A 2.4% edge on a 55.5% probability makes Diamondbacks +1.5 at -113 odds a solid value play in today's Brewers vs. Diamondbacks matchup.

Blue Jays vs. MarinersOver 7.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 51.9%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)

Our model projects value on Over 7.5 runs at +102 odds. A 51.9% probability produces a 2.4% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.

White Sox vs. Guardians Over 8.5 runs (+102)

• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 51.8%
• Matchup: White Sox vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, White Sox vs. Guardians Over 8.5 runs at +102 odds shows a 51.8% probability and a 2.3% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Friday, 7/3/2026

As of 2:10AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/3/2026]

• Cardinals vs. Cubs (4:05PM ET, Friday)
• Pirates vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
• Twins vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
• Orioles vs. Reds (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• White Sox vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
• Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
• Giants vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET, Friday)
• Rays vs. Astros (8:15PM ET, Friday)
• Red Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
• Marlins vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Friday)
• Brewers vs. D-Backs (9:45PM ET, Friday)
• Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Friday)
• Blue Jays vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 3, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks matchup and Diamondbacks ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.