MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Braxton Ashcraft [5/21/2026]

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 22, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Braxton Ashcraft, Joey Cantillo and Cade Cavalli.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Rockies vs. D-Backs and Guardians vs. Tigers, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop picks for Friday, 5/21

Sourced from 70+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 21, ranked by probability.

Braxton Ashcraft over 4.5 hits allowed (-154)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 67.9%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (1:15PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Pittsburgh's Braxton Ashcraft over 4.5 hits allowed. A probability of 67.9% gives this play an edge of 7.2% at -154 odds.

Joey Cantillo over 4.5 strikeouts (-147)

• Edge: 7.4%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Game: Guardians vs. Tigers (1:10PM ET)

Joey Cantillo’s strikeouts prop shows a 66.9% probability and an 7.4% edge at -147 odds, according to our model.

Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs (-141)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (1:15PM ET)

The data highlights value on Braxton Ashcraft over 1.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 66.8% probability and an 8.2% edge at -141.

Cade Cavalli under 5.5 hits allowed (-158)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 64.6%
• Game: Mets vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Cade Cavalli under 5.5 hits allowed, with a 64.6% probability and an edge of 3.4% at -158 odds.

Adrian Del Castillo to get a hit (-135)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Game: Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Adrian Del Castillo to get a hit for Arizona, showing an edge of 5.4% at -135 odds.

Jose Soriano over 4.5 hits allowed (-134)

• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 62.5%
• Game: Athletics vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)

Jose Soriano’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 5.3% at -134 odds, supported by a 62.5% probability according to our model.

Braxton Ashcraft under 5.5 strikeouts (-134)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 62.2%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (1:15PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Braxton Ashcraft under 5.5 strikeouts for Pittsburgh, with a 62.2% probability and a 4.9% edge at -134 odds.

Sandy Alcantara over 5.5 hits allowed (-131)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 61.7%
• Game: Braves vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Sandy Alcantara over 5.5 hits allowed, supported by a 61.7% probability at -131 odds and an edge of 5.0%.

Spencer Strider over 5.5 strikeouts (-127)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Game: Braves vs. Marlins (6:40PM ET)

A 4.8% edge on the over 5.5 strikeouts line makes Spencer Strider a value play in Braves vs. Marlins, supported by a 60.7% probability at -127 odds.

Eduardo Rodriguez over 1.5 walks allowed (-107)

• Edge: 7.1%
• Probability: 58.7%
• Game: Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Eduardo Rodriguez over 1.5 walks allowed here, with a 58.7% probability and 7.1% edge at -107 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, May 21, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:01AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 21, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Braxton Ashcraft, Joey Cantillo and Cade Cavalli. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.