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Aug 11, 2025
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Read Article Home run predictions for Monday include Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis [7/7/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, July 7, 2025, are in—with Shohei Ohtani topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.
We don't guess. Monday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
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| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 21.0% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 20.4% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 17.6% |
| Mike Trout (Angels) | 🔒 |
| Fernando Tatis (Padres) | 🔒 |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 🔒 |
| Corey Seager (Rangers) | 🔒 |
| Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) | 🔒 |
| Logan O'Hoppe (Angels) | 🔒 |
| Eugenio Suarez (Diamondbacks) | 🔒 |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.0% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (20.4%) and Jo Adell (17.6%).
Mike Trout and Fernando Tatis are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Monday? Join Dimers Pro now.
Monday's home run picks [7/7/2025]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.
Luis Matos (Giants) to hit a home run
- Probability: 10.7%
- Odds: +1300
- Edge: 3.6%
- Game: Phillies vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)
- Pitching matchup: Cristopher Sánchez
Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, San Francisco slugger Luis Matos offers standout value at +1300 with Bet365, showing an edge of 3.6%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.
In a matchup against Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Matos has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Monday's slate.
For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 67 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Dimers Pro has 67 home run picks for Monday MLB schedule for today [Monday, July 7, 2025]
- Marlins vs. Reds (7:10PM ET, Monday)
- Rockies vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Monday)
- Dodgers vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- Pirates vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Monday)
- Guardians vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Monday)
- Rangers vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Monday)
- D-Backs vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Monday)
- Phillies vs. Giants (9:45PM ET, Monday)
Conclusion
For July 7, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Jo Adell projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Luis Matos who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.6% edge at +1300 odds.
These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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