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Home run predictions for Sunday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [7/6/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions today are based on Sunday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, July 6, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

This is calculated. Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for July 6, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 22.7%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 21.2%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 20.9%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 🔒
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 🔒
Juan Soto (Mets) 🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays) 🔒
Kyle Tucker (Cubs) 🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.7% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.2%) and Cal Raleigh (20.9%).

Kyle Schwarber and Giancarlo Stanton are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Cal Raleigh 2025.
Cal Raleigh features in our home run predictions on Sunday, July 6, 2025.

Sunday's home run picks [7/6/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Eric Haase (Brewers) to hit a home run

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Milwaukee slugger Eric Haase offers serious value at +1250 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 4.8%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Edward Cabrera in tonight's Brewers-Marlins matchup, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Haase one of the best home run picks today on Sunday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 123 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Sunday, July 6, 2025]

Conclusion

For July 6, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Eric Haase who stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.8% edge at +1250 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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