Home run predictions for Saturday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [7/5/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, July 5, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge topping the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Saturday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for July 5, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	23.8%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)	21.9%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)	21.7%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	🔒
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets)	🔒
Junior Caminero (Rays)	🔒
Hunter Goodman (Rockies)	🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics)	🔒
Byron Buxton (Twins)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.8% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (21.9%) and Kyle Schwarber (21.7%).

Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Saturday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Saturday's home run picks [7/5/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Max Muncy (Athletics) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.9%
• Odds: +950
• Edge: 6.4%
• Game: Giants vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Logan Webb

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, San Francisco slugger Max Muncy offers standout value at +950 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 6.4%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Logan Webb in tonight's Giants-Athletics matchup, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Muncy has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Saturday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 69 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB schedule for today [Saturday, July 5, 2025]

• Rays vs. Twins (2:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Cardinals vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Saturday)
• Angels vs. Blue Jays (3:07PM ET, Saturday)
• Reds vs. Phillies (4:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Royals vs. D-Backs (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Orioles vs. Braves (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Yankees vs. Mets (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Brewers vs. Marlins (4:10PM ET, Saturday)
• Tigers vs. Guardians (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Astros vs. Dodgers (7:15PM ET, Saturday)
• Rangers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Saturday)
• Giants vs. Athletics (10:05PM ET, Saturday)
• Pirates vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

For July 5, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Max Muncy who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 6.4% edge at +950 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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