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MLB home run predictions for Friday led by Aaron Judge [6/13/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert analysis on Friday's MLB home run market.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
The most likely MLB home run hitters for Friday have been revealed.

As Friday's MLB action gets underway on June 13, 2025, Aaron Judge tops the list of MLB home run predictions, according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Our MLB hitter projections for Friday's slate, powered by 10,000 simulations per matchup, reveal the players most likely to slug a dinger today. See the table below for the top home run candidates across today's games.

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MLB home run predictions today [MLB cheat sheet for June 13, 2025]

Player (Team) Home run probability
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 22.6%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 21.0%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 20.7%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 🔒
Pete Alonso (Mets) 🔒
Mike Trout (Angels) 🔒
Fernando Tatis (Padres) 🔒
Brent Rooker (Athletics) 🔒
Matt Olson (Braves) 🔒
Gunnar Henderson (Orioles) 🔒

According to our projections, Judge tops today's list with a 22.6% chance to hit a home run. He's followed closely by Shohei Ohtani (21.0%) and Kyle Schwarber (20.7%).

Cal Raleigh and Pete Alonso are also among the top 10. To see their full probabilities, as well as projections for every player expected to have an at-bat on Friday, sign up for Dimers Pro.

Shohei Ohtani 2025.
Shohei Ohtani is one of the most likely MLB players to hit a home run on Friday, June 13, 2025.

Dimers Pro pick of the day: MLB HR prop [Friday, 6/13/2025]

After evaluating projected home runs, weather factors, and pitching matchups, our model has surfaced the following standout home run value bet for Friday.

Max Muncy (Athletics) to hit a home run

Despite not being ranked in the top 10 most likely players to hit a home run today, Max Muncy of the Athletics offers a strong +1000 payout with BetMGM, with an edge of 5.9% according to our projections.

With Michael Wacha on the mound for the Royals, Muncy stands out as the best HR bet on Friday's slate.

For more MLB picks and MLB predictions, sign up to Dimers Pro.

You’ll gain access to hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and full access to our complete home run prop board—perfect for building MLB parlays and round robins today

Access 175 HR picks for Friday
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MLB schedule for today [Friday, June 13, 2025]

Conclusion

For June 13, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with players like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. It's Max Muncy though that stands out as the best value bet, offering a 5.9% edge at +1000 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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