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Home run predictions for Tigers vs. Mariners include Cal Raleigh, Eugenio Suarez [10/10/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Friday's MLB Playoffs slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for October 10, 2025, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, October 10, 2025, are here—with Cal Raleigh topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Friday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for October 10, 2025

Player (Team) HR Projection
Cal Raleigh (Mariners) 21.2%
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners) 19.0%
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers) 17.5%
Riley Greene (Tigers) 🔒
Julio Rodriguez (Mariners) 🔒
Jorge Polanco (Mariners) 🔒
Spencer Torkelson (Tigers) 🔒
Josh Naylor (Mariners) 🔒
Mitch Garver (Mariners) 🔒
Randy Arozarena (Mariners) 🔒

Our analysis shows Raleigh leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.2% chance to go deep, followed by Eugenio Suarez (19.0%) and Kerry Carpenter (17.5%).

Riley Greene and Julio Rodriguez are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Friday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Cal Raleigh 2025.
Cal Raleigh appears in today's home run predictions on Friday, October 10, 2025.

Friday's playoffs home run picks [10/10/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Josh Naylor (Mariners) to hit a home run

Ranked as one of the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Seattle slugger Josh Naylor offers serious value at +1100 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 5.9%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

Set to face Tarik Skubal in tonight's Tigers-Mariners matchup, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Naylor one of the best home run picks today on Friday's slate.

 

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 20 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB postseason schedule for today [Friday, October 10, 2025]

Conclusion

For October 10, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Cal Raleigh, Eugenio Suarez and Kerry Carpenter projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Josh Naylor who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 5.9% edge at +1100 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

For more coverage, check out today's MLB player props and MLB best bets. Plus, stay updated with the latest MLB news, MLB betting trends updated every 15 minutes, and World Series odds.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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