Jun 24, 2026
Rangers vs. Marlins prediction: Why Texas is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/24/2026]
Read Article Mariners vs. Pirates prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will take on the Seattle Mariners, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at PNC Park on Wednesday, starting at 6:40 PM ET.
The Pirates will start Braxton Ashcraft (6-3, 3.18 ERA), up against Bryan Woo (6-5, 3.94 ERA) for the Mariners.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mariners a slight edge with a 51.3% win probability over the Pirates.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Mariners vs. Pirates matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mariners vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Mariners and Pirates, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mariners a 51.3% chance of beating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Mariners (+1.5) have a 67.1% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 56.3% chance of going over,.
Mariners vs. Pirates odds [6/24/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mariners | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-220) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -116 |
| Total | o7.5 (-117) | u7.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mariners vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mariners +1.5 | -220 |
| Moneyline | Mariners | -102 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -117 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mariners vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Mariners at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Wednesday, June 24, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 51.3% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
