MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, May 26thLast updated: | Published:
We've locked in two sluggers and generated another MLB Home Run Parlay for Friday, May 26. Tonight's parlay features players from the Astros vs. Athletics and the Mets vs. Rockies games as we compare our MLB predictions data against the sportsbook lines to try and determine where we might have an edge over the 'books. Read on for our full analysis below, and don't forget to check out our brand-new free parlay generator for more great bets.
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MLB +3150 Home Run Parlay For Friday
Francisco Alvarez 1+ HR
Kyle Tucker 1+ HR
Friday MLB Parlay Analysis
Mets vs. Rockies 8:40PM ET
LEG 1: Francisco Alvarez 1+ HR (+550) with BetMGM
Like the rest of the Mets, Francisco Alvarez is heating up. Taking a page out of Pete Alonso's book, the Mets top prospect is developing into a full-fledged slugging catcher, racking up three homers over his last four games, doubling his total on the year. He's seeing the ball well, making consistent contact and gets the lofty confines of Coors Field tonight.
Our model gives him a 28% chance to go yard, good enough for a 12.2% edge in the books' odds as well. His pitching matchup with Connor Seabold is favorable, as he's allowed five home runs in his past four starts. Let's get some dingers!
Astros vs. Athletics 9:40PM ET
LEG 2: Kyle Tucker 1+ HR (+400) with BetMGM
Kyle Tucker has seven home runs on the year but is still looking for his first of this week. He gets a significant 27% home run probability based on our model's simulations. He draws a pitching matchup with James Kaprielian (8.68 ERA) who has surprisingly limited his home runs this year. A look at his Statcast suggests luck has been on his side, as he sits in the bottom third of the league in exit velocity and xSLG percentage.
Tucker on the other hand, sits in the top 25% of MLB in every home run-friendly metric, giving us a great opportunity to close out the night with a parlay cash.
MLB +3150 Home Run Parlay Friday, May 26, 2023
1️⃣ Francisco Alvarez 1+ HR
2️⃣ Kyle Tucker 1+ HR
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Friday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions, suggested bets and MLB props, or check out the MLB Betting News section.
*All odds subject to change from time of publishing
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