MLB picks today: Monday's MLB best bets include Astros vs. Guardians play [4/20/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB picks today and best bets for Monday, April 20, 2026.

MLB Best Bets.
These MLB betting picks for April 20, 2026, are based on the latest odds and probabilities for Monday's games.

Today’s MLB picks for April 20, 2026 are here, with Astros vs. Guardians and Twins vs. Mets among the top plays identified by our model across Monday’s MLB action.

Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to discover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.

List of MLB best bets tonight [4/20, updated 9:32PM ET]

Below, you’ll find today’s best baseball bets, ranked by edge for Monday, April 20, 2026.

Astros vs. Guardians over 8 runs (-115)

Our model has identified value on over 8 runs in Astros vs. Guardians at -115 odds. A 57.5% probability produces an edge of 4.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

 

Twins vs. Mets over 7.5 runs (-102)

  • Edge: 3.5%
  • Probability: 54%
  • Matchup: Twins vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Tuesday)

Twins vs. Mets over 7.5 runs carries a 3.5% edge and a probability of 54% at -102 odds, according to our model.

 

Blue Jays vs. Angels over 7.5 runs (-105)

Blue Jays vs. Angels over 7.5 runs at -105 odds shows a 2.4% edge, supported by a 53.6% probability in simulations.

 

Yankees vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs (-105)

A 2.4% edge and 53.6% probability make Yankees vs. Red Sox over 8.5 runs at a value play in the Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup, per our model.

 

Brewers vs. Tigers over 8 runs (-110)

Brewers vs. Tigers over 8 runs at -110 odds presents a 2.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.6%.

 

MLB best bets summary: Monday, 4/20/2026

As of 9:32PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup Bet Odds Edge Probability
Astros vs. Guardians Over 8 Runs -115 @ FanDuel 4.0% 57.5%
Twins vs. Mets Over 7.5 Runs -102 @ BetMGM 3.5% 54%
Blue Jays vs. Angels Over 7.5 Runs -105 @ DraftKings 2.4% 53.6%
Yankees vs. Red Sox Over 8.5 Runs -105 @ BetMGM 2.4% 53.6%
Brewers vs. Tigers Over 8 Runs -110 @ FanDuel 2.3% 54.6%
 

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [4/20/2026]

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for April 20, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8 runs in the Astros vs. Guardians matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Twins vs. Mets matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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