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Reds vs. Cardinals prediction: St. Louis favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [6/6/2026]
MLB
Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB game on April 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Apr 21, 10:45PM Fenway Park
Apr 21, 10:45PM Fenway Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Bets
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yankees | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Win %
100%
0%
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. McMahon | 3B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 2 | A. Judge | RF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 3 | B. Rice | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 4 | G. Stanton | DH | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 2.000 |
| 5 | C. Bellinger | LF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 6 | T. Grisham | CF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | J. Chisholm | 2B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 8 | J. Caballero | SS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 9 | A. Wells | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Anthony | LF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | W. Contreras | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 3 | M. Yoshida | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | W. Abreu | RF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | T. Story | SS | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 6 | C. Rafaela | CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 7 | J. Duran | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | C. Durbin | 3B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 9 | C. Narváez | C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
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Yankees vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Yankees vs. Red Sox
- Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET
- Venue: Fenway Park
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 8.5
- Moneyline Odds: Yankees +116, Red Sox -115
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Yankees: 45%
- Red Sox: 55%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 45%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 55%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Yankees vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.
