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Vikings vs. Packers prediction: Green Bay favored to win in NFL Week 12, 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings will lock horns in Week 12 of the NFL season at Lambeau Field on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Packers as the most likely winner of the Vikings vs. Packers game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Vikings vs. Packers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Since our Vikings-Packers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL game between the Vikings and Packers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Packers a 74% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 12 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Packers winning 24-17.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Vikings and Packers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 41.5 points has a 54% chance of going over.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 12 straight up picks.
Vikings vs. Packers odds
We have researched the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Vikings | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-112) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -285 |
| Total | o41.5 (-108) | u41.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Vikings vs. Packers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers -6.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Packers | -285 |
| Total | Over 41.5 | -108 |
According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 41.5 total points.
Vikings vs. Packers TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Vikings vs. Packers?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Emanuel Wilson is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs. Packers.
Our projections give Wilson a 46.4% chance of getting in for six at Lambeau Field, while the running back is a 12.6% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson (WR) | 32.8% |
| Aaron Jones (RB) | 29.4% |
| Jordan Addison (WR) | 27.5% |
| Jordan Mason (RB) | 19.1% |
| T.J. Hockenson (TE) | 17.5% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Emanuel Wilson (RB) | 46.4% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 32.6% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 30.2% |
| Dontayvion Wicks (WR) | 21.5% |
| Chris Brooks (RB) | 19.4% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson (WR) | 7.4% |
| Aaron Jones (RB) | 6.4% |
| Jordan Addison (WR) | 6.0% |
| Jordan Mason (RB) | 3.9% |
| T.J. Hockenson (TE) | 3.6% |
Green Bay Packers
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Emanuel Wilson (RB) | 12.6% |
| Romeo Doubs (WR) | 8.0% |
| Christian Watson (WR) | 7.3% |
| Dontayvion Wicks (WR) | 4.9% |
| Chris Brooks (RB) | 4.4% |
Vikings vs Packers player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Packers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 12 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' J.J. McCarthy is projected for 196 passing yards, while the Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for 231 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy (MIN) | 196 |
| Jordan Love (GB) | 231 |
Vikings rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 58 |
| Jordan Mason | 28 |
| J.J. McCarthy | 19 |
Packers rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Emanuel Wilson | 72 |
| Chris Brooks | 19 |
| Jordan Love | 13 |
Vikings receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 68 |
| Jordan Addison | 44 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 29 |
| Jalen Nailor | 24 |
| Aaron Jones | 19 |
Packers receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Romeo Doubs | 56 |
| Christian Watson | 53 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | 35 |
| Luke Musgrave | 24 |
| Emanuel Wilson | 16 |
Vikings vs. Packers game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 12 matchup between the Packers and Vikings at Lambeau Field is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Lambeau Field
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Conclusion
We predict the Packers, with a 74% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 12 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Packers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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