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Timberwolves vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Anthony Edwards projected for 26 points in Saturday's NBA game [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs predictions for NBA Saturday.
The San Antonio Spurs will square off with the Minnesota Timberwolves in NBA action at Frost Bank Center on Saturday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Timberwolves vs. Spurs game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature stars like Victor Wembanyama, De'Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle, while the Timberwolves will look to Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Naz Reid.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Wolves vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NBA game between the Timberwolves and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 68% chance of beating the Timberwolves. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 118-112.
According to our model, the Spurs (-5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 234.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Timberwolves | Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5 (-114) | -5 (-106) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -194 |
| Total | o234.5 (-106) | u234.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs -5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Spurs | -194 |
| Total | Under 234.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Under 234.5 total points.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. San Antonio NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.
Anthony Edwards is expected to lead the Timberwolves with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 23 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for the Spurs.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Timberwolves prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Timberwolves are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 26 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 46 |
| Julius Randle | 22 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 44 |
| Naz Reid | 15 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 36 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 32 |
Spurs prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Wembanyama | 23 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 49 |
| De'Aaron Fox | 21 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 40 |
| Stephon Castle | 19 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 41 |
| Keldon Johnson | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| J. Champagnie | 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
Wolves vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Spurs and Timberwolves at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Conclusion
We predict the Spurs, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Timberwolves on Saturday, with Victor Wembanyama projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Timberwolves vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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