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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Timberwolves vs. Spurs NBA game on January 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
123
126
Jan 18, 1AM Frost Bank Center
Jan 18, 1AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 22 | 21 | 79 | 4 | 123 |
Spurs | 21 | 41 | 61 | 2 | 126 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
2%
98%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Timberwolves | 22 | 21 | 79 | 4 | 123 |
Spurs | 21 | 41 | 61 | 2 | 126 |
Q4 00:00 Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:11 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:17 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:40 Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:29 Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip layup
Q4 1:47 Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
Q4 2:04 De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-125
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Mike Conley)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-125
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
122-123
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
126-125
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
123-126
Chris Finch technical foul
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Mike Conley)
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
126-125
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
126-125
Donte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-125
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point tip layup
+3
Donte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Anthony Edwards assists)
126-125
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Keldon Johnson assists)
126-125
Anthony Edwards personal foul (Loose ball) (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
Donte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+3
Anthony Edwards makes three point pullup jump shot
106-108
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-125
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-125
Spurs 60 second timeout
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Joan Beringer, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-125
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
103-106
Spurs lineup change (Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Luke Kornet defensive rebound
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
100-103
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
106-108
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
126-125
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
126-125
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Mike Conley defensive rebound
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Anthony Edwards misses two point layup
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
126-125
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
126-125
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
119-123
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-123
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point driving finger roll layup
106-108
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Harrison Barnes offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Joan Beringer, Julius Randle, Mike Conley)
Spurs personal foul
Anthony Edwards personal foul
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaden McDaniels makes two point jump shot
74-85
Victor Wembanyama personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes technical free throw 1 of 1
122-123
Spurs turnover
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
73-85
Leonard Miller defensive rebound
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
74-85
Spurs defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs lineup change (Lindy Waters III, Dylan Harper, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson)
Keldon Johnson turnover (bad pass)
+3
Bones Hyland makes three point jump shot (Jaden McDaniels assists)
69-81
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point driving hook shot (Lindy Waters III assists)
74-85
Keldon Johnson personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Leonard Miller)
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
122-123
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
106-108
Spurs turnover
Bones Hyland turnover
Julius Randle defensive rebound
Julius Randle kicked ball violation
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Donte DiVincenzo, Joan Beringer, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
Harrison Barnes personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)
Timberwolves personal foul
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
100-103
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs personal foul
Instant replay (Challenge)
Donte DiVincenzo blocks Stephon Castle's two point driving layup
Timberwolves challenge timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-94
+1
Julius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-94
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves challenge timeout
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Joan Beringer defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves turnover
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-62
Julius Randle misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves offensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
Julius Randle turnover
Anthony Edwards turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
43-62
Anthony Edwards misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Timberwolves offensive rebound
+1
Anthony Edwards makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-62
Stephon Castle personal foul (Loose ball) (Julius Randle draws the foul)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
43-62
+2
Julius Randle makes two point jump shot
43-62
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Johnny Juzang offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-62
+3
Harrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
35-47
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
43-62
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves lineup change (Anthony Edwards, Johnny Juzang, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle, Mike Conley)
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Luke Kornet makes two point alley-oop dunk (Stephon Castle assists)
35-47
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
35-47
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
35-47
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
33-44
Timberwolves 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet)
Timberwolves misses three point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
Timberwolves lineup change (Bones Hyland, Anthony Edwards, Donte DiVincenzo, Jaden McDaniels, Julius Randle)
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
31-41
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
31-34
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
29-34
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
29-31
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
29-32
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
29-30
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
29-27
Bones Hyland defensive rebound
+3
Timberwolves makes three point jump shot
27-27
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
24-27
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
24-25
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Instant replay
End of 1st Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Carter Bryant, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama, Keldon Johnson)
Timberwolves personal foul
Jaylen Clark offensive rebound
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Jaylen Clark defensive rebound
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Timberwolves misses two point jump shot
Joan Beringer offensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
17-17
Timberwolves turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
17-14
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
17-12
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
15-12
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Luke Kornet offensive rebound
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
Julius Randle defensive rebound
+2
Timberwolves makes two point jump shot
11-10
Anthony Edwards defensive rebound
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Timberwolves personal foul
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Spurs defensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Timberwolves personal foul
+1
Jaden McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 2
5-6
Timberwolves offensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox turnover (bad pass) (Jaden McDaniels steals)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
+2
Anthony Edwards makes two point running dunk (Donte DiVincenzo assists)
4-6
Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
+2
Julian Champagnie makes two point running dunk (Victor Wembanyama assists)
0-6
Julian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Naz Reid steals)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox misses two point running pullup jump shot
Donte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Stephon Castle steals)
Timberwolves defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Donte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot
Jaden McDaniels defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point driving finger roll layup
0-2
Start of 1st Quarter
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -5
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5
- Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +165, Spurs -194
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Timberwolves: 32%
- Spurs: 68%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Timberwolves 113-118 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Timberwolves a win probability of 32%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 68%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Timberwolves in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Timberwolves vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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