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Lynx vs. Mercury Prediction: Minnesota Predicted to Win Friday's WNBA Matchup [5/30/2025]

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Written by Mac Douglass

Our expert prediction for Friday's Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury matchup.

Minnesota Lynx-Phoenix Mercury Predictions and Game Preview.
PHX Arena sets the stage for the WNBA matchup between the Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury this Friday.

The Phoenix Mercury and Minnesota Lynx will meet in the WNBA at PHX Arena on Friday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Employing the latest data, our experts simulated Friday's Minnesota-Phoenix game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.

"After computing the latest updates and thousands of other inputs, we predict the Lynx' chance of winning is 76%, while the Mercury's is 24%."

The Mercury, powered by Satou Sabally, Sami Whitcomb and Kalani Brown, are set to take on the Lynx, who feature Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Bridget Carleton.

For further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Lynx vs. Mercury predictions page.

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Mercury vs. Lynx Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Lynx a 76% chance of defeating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Lynx (-4.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 156.5 points has a 57% chance of going over.

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Lynx vs. Mercury Odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lynx Mercury
Spread -4.5 (-110) +4.5 (-110)
Moneyline -215 +180
Total o156.5 (-115) u156.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Lynx vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Lynx vs. Mercury matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Lynx vs. Mercury Player Props

WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Friday's Lynx vs. Mercury matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.

Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx in scoring, while Satou Sabally is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.

Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.

Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game
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Lynx vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Friday's matchup between the Mercury and Lynx at PHX Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Friday's Lynx vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Minnesota vs. Phoenix picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Lynx, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lynx vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on WNBA

Stay up-to-date with the latest WNBA betting news and WNBA parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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