Lynx vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 17 points in Thursday's WNBA game [5/14/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Lynx and Wings, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Wings a 70% chance of defeating the Lynx.

According to our model, the Wings (-3.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 178.5 points has a 61% chance of staying under.

Lynx vs. Wings odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Lynx	Wings
Spread	+3.5 (-105)	-3.5 (-114)
Moneyline	+152	-175
Total	o178.5 (-106)	u178.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lynx vs. Wings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Wings -3.5	-114
Moneyline	Wings	-175
Total	Under 178.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Lynx vs. Wings player props

Looking for Minnesota vs. Dallas WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at College Park Center.

Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 4 assists, while Paige Bueckers is projected to have 17 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Wings.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.

Lynx prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kayla McBride	17	3	4	3	32
C. Williams	17	6	7	2	41
Olivia Miles	15	5	5	2	34
Natasha Howard	13	8	2	0	31
Nia Coffey	10	6	3	2	27

Wings prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Wings:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Paige Bueckers	17	3	5	1	34
A. Ogunbowale	15	3	4	2	29
Jessica Shepard	12	9	4	0	31
Odyssey Sims	9	2	4	1	20
Alanna Smith	8	5	3	1	25

Lynx vs. Wings game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's action between the Wings and Lynx at College Park Center is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings
• Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: College Park Center

Conclusion

We predict the Wings, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat the Lynx in Thursday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.