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Bucks vs. Nuggets prediction: Milwaukee to win, Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [1/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Denver Nuggets will take on the Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action at Ball Arena on Sunday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Bucks as the most likely winner of the Bucks vs. Nuggets game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Nuggets lineup will feature stars like Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson and Aaron Gordon, while the Bucks will be led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter and Ryan Rollins.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Nuggets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Bucks and Nuggets 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Bucks a 60% chance of beating the Nuggets. Our predicted final score has the Bucks winning 111-108.
According to our model, the Bucks (-2.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 219.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Bucks vs. Nuggets odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Nuggets |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-108) | +2.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -138 | +120 |
| Total | o219.5 (-110) | u219.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Nuggets picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks -2.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | -138 |
| Total | Over 219.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Bucks to win.
Bucks vs. Nuggets player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Milwaukee vs. Denver game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Ball Arena.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to lead the Bucks with 29 points, 11 rebounds and 7 assists, while Jamal Murray is projected to have 26 points, 5 rebounds and 8 assists for the Nuggets.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Antetokounmpo | 29 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 58 |
| Kevin Porter | 19 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 44 |
| Ryan Rollins | 16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| Bobby Portis | 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| Myles Turner | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
Nuggets prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Nuggets:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray | 26 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 50 |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Aaron Gordon | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Tim Hardaway | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 21 |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
Bucks vs. Nuggets game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Nuggets and Bucks at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Bucks, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Nuggets on Sunday, with Giannis Antetokounmpo projected for a game-high 58 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Nuggets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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