Heat vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for 26 points in Thursday's NBA game [10/30/2025]

NBA action continues on Thursday at 8:30PM ET as the Miami Heat face off with the favored San Antonio Spurs at Frost Bank Center.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Spurs as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Spurs game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Spurs lineup will feature players like Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and Devin Vassell, while the Heat will look to Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins and Jaime Jaquez.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Heat vs. Spurs prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NBA game between the Heat and Spurs 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Spurs a 68% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Spurs winning 116-111.

According to our model, the Heat (+5.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 228.5 points has a 51% chance of staying under.

Heat vs. Spurs odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Heat vs. Spurs picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Heat +5.5 at the spread.

Heat vs. Spurs player props

Looking for Miami vs. San Antonio NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Frost Bank Center.

Bam Adebayo is expected to lead the Heat with 20 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists, while Victor Wembanyama is projected to have 26 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists for the Spurs.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Heat prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:

Spurs prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Spurs:

Heat vs. Spurs game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Spurs and Heat at Frost Bank Center is scheduled to start at 8:30PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
• Time: 8:30PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Frost Bank Center

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Conclusion

We predict the Spurs, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Spurs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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