Heat vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Spurs NBA game on October 30, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
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NBA
Heat
101
107
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Heat
31 27 14 29 101
Spurs
33 26 28 20 107
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Heat
    28%
  • Spurs
    72%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
31 27 14 29 101
Spurs
33 26 28 20 107
Q4 00:11 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:19 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:41 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:38 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:08 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:39 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:07 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q2 Q3 Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:07
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:11
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:14
    Heat personal foul
  5. Q4 00:14
    Instant replay
  6. Q4 00:14
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  7. Q4 00:14
    Spurs offensive rebound
  8. Q4 00:14
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-107
  9. Q4 00:14
    Heat 60 second timeout
  10. Q4 00:16
    Devin Vassell offensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:19
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  12. Q4 00:41
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    101-106
  13. Q4 00:50
    Spurs turnover
  14. Q4 00:50
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell)
  15. Q4 1:08
    Spurs turnover
  16. Q4 1:08
    Heat turnover
  17. Q4 1:09
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  18. Q4 1:14
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:27
    Spurs personal foul
  20. Q4 1:27
    Harrison Barnes turnover (offensive foul)
  21. Q4 1:38
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 1:38
    Spurs defensive rebound
  23. Q4 1:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  24. Q4 1:43
    Spurs turnover
  25. Q4 2:08
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    98-106
  26. Q4 2:16
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    95-106
  27. Q4 2:20
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  28. Q4 2:24
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 2:39
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    95-104
  30. Q4 2:50
    Heat turnover
  31. Q4 3:04
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  32. Q4 3:07
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  33. Q4 3:26
    Heat turnover
  34. Q4 3:44
    Heat personal foul
  35. Q4 3:44
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    95-100
  36. Q4 3:44
    Heat 60 second timeout
  37. Q4 3:44
    +1
    Harrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    95-101
  38. Q4 4:00
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    95-99
  39. Q4 4:18
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    93-99
  40. Q4 4:19
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  41. Q4 4:20
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  42. Q4 4:47
    Spurs personal foul
  43. Q4 4:47
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    92-96
  44. Q4 4:47
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    93-96
  45. Q4 4:57
    Heat 60 second timeout
  46. Q4 4:57
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  47. Q4 4:58
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    91-96
  48. Q4 5:07
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  49. Q4 5:12
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 5:26
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    91-93
  51. Q4 5:30
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  52. Q4 5:32
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 5:47
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  54. Q4 5:50
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 5:59
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  56. Q4 6:03
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  57. Q4 6:11
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  58. Q4 6:15
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 6:26
    Spurs personal foul
  60. Q4 6:26
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  61. Q4 6:32
    Spurs turnover
  62. Q4 6:44
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    91-90
  63. Q4 7:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    89-90
  64. Q4 7:25
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  65. Q4 7:25
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  66. Q4 7:25
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    89-88
  67. Q4 7:25
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  68. Q4 7:25
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  69. Q4 7:31
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  70. Q4 7:34
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  71. Q4 7:49
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    87-88
  72. Q4 7:57
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  73. Q4 7:59
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  74. Q4 8:16
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    85-88
  75. Q4 8:28
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  76. Q4 8:30
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  77. Q4 8:48
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    83-88
  78. Q4 9:02
    Heat personal foul
  79. Q4 9:02
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  80. Q4 9:02
    Spurs offensive rebound
  81. Q4 9:02
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-88
  82. Q4 9:17
    Heat personal foul
  83. Q4 9:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    80-87
  84. Q4 9:19
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  85. Q4 9:19
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  86. Q4 9:26
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  87. Q4 9:30
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  88. Q4 9:48
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  89. Q4 9:52
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 9:57
    Spurs turnover
  91. Q4 10:09
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    77-87
  92. Q4 10:09
    Spurs personal foul
  93. Q4 10:09
    Dylan Harper turnover
  94. Q4 10:09
    Instant replay
  95. Q4 10:09
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    78-87
  96. Q4 10:12
    Spurs personal foul
  97. Q4 10:15
    Spurs personal foul
  98. Q4 10:19
    Spurs turnover
  99. Q4 10:39
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    74-87
  100. Q4 10:53
    Spurs violation
  101. Q4 10:53
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
  102. Q4 11:05
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  103. Q4 11:08
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 11:18
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  105. Q4 11:21
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  106. Q4 11:34
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  107. Q4 11:36
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  108. Q3 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  109. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  110. Q4 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  111. Q3 00:03
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  112. Q3 00:05
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  113. Q3 00:30
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    72-87
  114. Q3 00:31
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  115. Q3 00:32
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  116. Q3 00:49
    Heat turnover
  117. Q3 1:03
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    72-84
  118. Q3 1:13
    Heat personal foul
  119. Q3 1:16
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  120. Q3 1:19
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  121. Q3 1:36
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-81
  122. Q3 1:49
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  123. Q3 1:51
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  124. Q3 2:02
    Heat personal foul
  125. Q3 2:02
    Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  126. Q3 2:02
    Spurs offensive rebound
  127. Q3 2:02
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    72-79
  128. Q3 2:04
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  129. Q3 2:06
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  130. Q3 2:22
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  131. Q3 2:22
    Heat offensive rebound
  132. Q3 2:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  133. Q3 2:22
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  134. Q3 2:22
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  135. Q3 2:22
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper)
  136. Q3 2:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-78
  137. Q3 2:40
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  138. Q3 2:43
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  139. Q3 2:56
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    72-76
  140. Q3 3:16
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    72-74
  141. Q3 3:18
    Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
  142. Q3 3:22
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  143. Q3 3:29
    Spurs personal foul
  144. Q3 3:29
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper)
  145. Q3 3:29
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  146. Q3 3:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    69-74
  147. Q3 3:48
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  148. Q3 3:50
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  149. Q3 4:03
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  150. Q3 4:05
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  151. Q3 4:22
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    69-72
  152. Q3 4:23
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  153. Q3 4:27
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  154. Q3 4:43
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    67-72
  155. Q3 4:58
    Spurs personal foul
  156. Q3 4:58
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    66-69
  157. Q3 4:58
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-69
  158. Q3 5:14
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  159. Q3 5:14
    Heat defensive rebound
  160. Q3 5:14
    Spurs personal foul
  161. Q3 5:14
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Bismack Biyombo)
  162. Q3 5:29
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  163. Q3 5:31
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  164. Q3 5:44
    Spurs turnover
  165. Q3 5:54
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  166. Q3 5:57
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 6:11
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  168. Q3 6:13
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  169. Q3 6:19
    Heat personal foul
  170. Q3 6:19
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  171. Q3 6:31
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    65-69
  172. Q3 6:38
    Spurs turnover
  173. Q3 6:59
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  174. Q3 6:59
    Spurs defensive rebound
  175. Q3 6:59
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  176. Q3 7:06
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  177. Q3 7:10
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  178. Q3 7:28
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    62-69
  179. Q3 7:50
    Heat 60 second timeout
  180. Q3 7:50
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  181. Q3 7:51
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-69
  182. Q3 7:53
    Spurs offensive rebound
  183. Q3 7:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  184. Q3 7:54
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  185. Q3 8:05
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  186. Q3 8:08
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 8:23
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-67
  188. Q3 8:37
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  189. Q3 8:39
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  190. Q3 8:44
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  191. Q3 8:47
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  192. Q3 8:57
    Heat personal foul
  193. Q3 9:06
    Heat turnover
  194. Q3 9:12
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  195. Q3 9:15
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  196. Q3 9:18
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  197. Q3 9:20
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  198. Q3 9:26
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  199. Q3 9:28
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 9:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-65
  201. Q3 9:42
    Heat turnover
  202. Q3 10:01
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-63
  203. Q3 10:22
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  204. Q3 10:26
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  205. Q3 10:37
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    60-61
  206. Q3 10:51
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  207. Q3 10:53
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  208. Q3 11:11
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  209. Q3 11:14
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  210. Q3 11:40
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    60-59
  211. Q3 11:47
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  212. Q3 11:47
    Heat offensive rebound
  213. Q3 11:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  214. Q3 11:59
    Spurs offensive rebound
  215. Q2 00:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  216. Q2 00:00
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  217. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  218. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson)
  219. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  220. Q2 00:09
    Heat personal foul
  221. Q2 00:09
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-58
  222. Q2 00:09
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  223. Q2 00:09
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  224. Q2 00:09
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    58-59
  225. Q2 00:29
    Spurs defensive rebound
  226. Q2 00:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  227. Q2 00:29
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  228. Q2 00:32
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  229. Q2 00:42
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    58-57
  230. Q2 00:47
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    58-55
  231. Q2 1:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    56-55
  232. Q2 1:11
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  233. Q2 1:13
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  234. Q2 1:24
    Spurs personal foul
  235. Q2 1:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    56-53
  236. Q2 1:37
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  237. Q2 1:42
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  238. Q2 1:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  239. Q2 1:53
    Heat personal foul
  240. Q2 1:53
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    56-50
  241. Q2 1:53
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    56-51
  242. Q2 2:12
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    56-49
  243. Q2 2:19
    Spurs personal foul
  244. Q2 2:19
    Heat 60 second timeout
  245. Q2 2:19
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  246. Q2 2:19
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  247. Q2 2:19
    Stoppage (Blood rule)
  248. Q2 2:28
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  249. Q2 2:31
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  250. Q2 2:35
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  251. Q2 2:40
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  252. Q2 2:43
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  253. Q2 2:46
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  254. Q2 2:59
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    54-49
  255. Q2 3:14
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    52-49
  256. Q2 3:17
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  257. Q2 3:22
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  258. Q2 3:26
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  259. Q2 3:28
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  260. Q2 3:47
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    52-46
  261. Q2 3:55
    Spurs personal foul
  262. Q2 4:04
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  263. Q2 4:06
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  264. Q2 4:24
    Heat personal foul
  265. Q2 4:24
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  266. Q2 4:35
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    50-46
  267. Q2 4:37
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  268. Q2 4:39
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  269. Q2 4:52
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    48-46
  270. Q2 4:58
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  271. Q2 5:03
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  272. Q2 5:09
    Heat offensive rebound
  273. Q2 5:09
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  274. Q2 5:11
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  275. Q2 5:26
    Heat personal foul
  276. Q2 5:26
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  277. Q2 5:26
    Spurs offensive rebound
  278. Q2 5:26
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  279. Q2 5:26
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-44
  280. Q2 5:35
    Heat turnover
  281. Q2 5:45
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  282. Q2 5:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  283. Q2 6:03
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    48-43
  284. Q2 6:15
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  285. Q2 6:15
    Heat defensive rebound
  286. Q2 6:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  287. Q2 6:20
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  288. Q2 6:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  289. Q2 6:41
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    45-43
  290. Q2 7:02
    Spurs defensive rebound
  291. Q2 7:02
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  292. Q2 7:04
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  293. Q2 7:18
    Heat personal foul
  294. Q2 7:18
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  295. Q2 7:18
    Spurs offensive rebound
  296. Q2 7:18
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson)
  297. Q2 7:18
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-41
  298. Q2 7:30
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  299. Q2 7:32
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    45-40
  300. Q2 7:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    42-40
  301. Q2 7:55
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  302. Q2 7:59
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  303. Q2 8:14
    Spurs personal foul
  304. Q2 8:14
    Bam Adebayo misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  305. Q2 8:14
    Heat offensive rebound
  306. Q2 8:14
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  307. Q2 8:14
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Bismack Biyombo, Harrison Barnes)
  308. Q2 8:27
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  309. Q2 8:31
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  310. Q2 8:49
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  311. Q2 8:49
    Spurs lineup change (Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  312. Q2 8:50
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    42-38
  313. Q2 8:54
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  314. Q2 8:56
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  315. Q2 9:04
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  316. Q2 9:09
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  317. Q2 9:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  318. Q2 9:18
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  319. Q2 9:21
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 9:44
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    39-38
  321. Q2 9:56
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    36-38
  322. Q2 10:13
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    36-36
  323. Q2 10:23
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  324. Q2 10:23
    Heat offensive rebound
  325. Q2 10:23
    Spurs personal foul
  326. Q2 10:23
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  327. Q2 10:23
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Dylan Harper, Harrison Barnes)
  328. Q2 10:27
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  329. Q2 10:32
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  330. Q2 10:47
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  331. Q2 10:51
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  332. Q2 10:54
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  333. Q2 10:56
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  334. Q2 11:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    33-36
  335. Q2 11:38
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    31-36
  336. Q2 11:43
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  337. Q2 11:47
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  338. Q1 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  339. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  340. Q1 00:02
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    31-33
  341. Q1 00:06
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  342. Q1 00:10
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  343. Q1 00:31
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  344. Q1 00:34
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  345. Q1 00:44
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    29-33
  346. Q1 00:48
    Heat turnover
  347. Q1 00:54
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  348. Q1 00:57
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  349. Q1 00:59
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  350. Q1 1:02
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  351. Q1 1:16
    Heat personal foul
  352. Q1 1:16
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    29-29
  353. Q1 1:16
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    29-30
  354. Q1 1:26
    Nikola Jovic turnover (offensive foul)
  355. Q1 1:26
    Heat personal foul
  356. Q1 1:36
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    29-28
  357. Q1 1:39
    Heat turnover
  358. Q1 1:45
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    29-26
  359. Q1 2:11
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    29-23
  360. Q1 2:20
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  361. Q1 2:22
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  362. Q1 2:34
    Spurs personal foul
  363. Q1 2:34
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    25-23
  364. Q1 2:34
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    26-23
  365. Q1 2:34
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    27-23
  366. Q1 2:34
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper)
  367. Q1 2:43
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  368. Q1 2:47
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  369. Q1 3:06
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    24-23
  370. Q1 3:21
    Spurs turnover
  371. Q1 3:21
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Jordan McLaughlin, Dylan Harper)
  372. Q1 3:33
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    22-23
  373. Q1 3:44
    Heat personal foul
  374. Q1 3:44
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    20-22
  375. Q1 3:44
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    20-23
  376. Q1 3:44
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  377. Q1 3:55
    Bismack Biyombo offensive rebound
  378. Q1 3:57
    Heat personal foul
  379. Q1 3:57
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    20-21
  380. Q1 3:57
    Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  381. Q1 3:59
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  382. Q1 4:02
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  383. Q1 4:03
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  384. Q1 4:04
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  385. Q1 4:04
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  386. Q1 4:07
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  387. Q1 4:07
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  388. Q1 4:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  389. Q1 4:13
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  390. Q1 4:24
    Heat personal foul
  391. Q1 4:24
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  392. Q1 4:24
    Instant replay
  393. Q1 4:24
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  394. Q1 4:24
    Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Nikola Jovic, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  395. Q1 4:25
    Heat turnover
  396. Q1 4:43
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    20-20
  397. Q1 4:56
    Heat turnover
  398. Q1 5:05
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  399. Q1 5:08
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  400. Q1 5:19
    Heat turnover
  401. Q1 5:29
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  402. Q1 5:31
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  403. Q1 5:51
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    20-17
  404. Q1 5:58
    Spurs personal foul
  405. Q1 5:58
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  406. Q1 5:58
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Bismack Biyombo)
  407. Q1 6:06
    Heat personal foul
  408. Q1 6:06
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    18-16
  409. Q1 6:06
    Heat personal foul
  410. Q1 6:06
    Heat 60 second timeout
  411. Q1 6:06
    Heat challenge timeout
  412. Q1 6:06
    Instant replay
  413. Q1 6:06
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Kel'el Ware, Davion Mitchell, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  414. Q1 6:06
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  415. Q1 6:06
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    18-17
  416. Q1 6:06
    Heat 60 second timeout
  417. Q1 6:21
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    18-14
  418. Q1 6:40
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    15-14
  419. Q1 6:48
    Heat personal foul
  420. Q1 6:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    15-11
  421. Q1 7:08
    Spurs personal foul
  422. Q1 7:08
    Victor Wembanyama turnover (offensive foul)
  423. Q1 7:13
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  424. Q1 7:16
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  425. Q1 7:25
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  426. Q1 7:29
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  427. Q1 7:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  428. Q1 7:50
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  429. Q1 7:51
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    13-11
  430. Q1 7:57
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  431. Q1 8:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  432. Q1 8:14
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  433. Q1 8:16
    Spurs personal foul
  434. Q1 8:16
    Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  435. Q1 8:16
    Heat offensive rebound
  436. Q1 8:16
    Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  437. Q1 8:24
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  438. Q1 8:26
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 8:57
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    10-11
  440. Q1 9:02
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  441. Q1 9:05
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  442. Q1 9:17
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  443. Q1 9:20
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  444. Q1 9:28
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    7-11
  445. Q1 9:37
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  446. Q1 9:41
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  447. Q1 9:47
    Stephon Castle turnover (Kel'el Ware steals)
  448. Q1 9:59
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point layup
    7-9
  449. Q1 10:05
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point driving finger roll layup
    5-9
  450. Q1 10:19
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    5-7
  451. Q1 11:59
    Spurs offensive rebound
Box Score
Heat
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Heat vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Spurs
  • Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -7.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +198, Spurs -215

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 31%
  • Spurs: 69%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 111-117 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 31%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 69%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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