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Heat vs. 76ers prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Sunday's NBA matchup [11/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Philadelphia 76ers will take on the Miami Heat in NBA action at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Sunday, beginning at 1:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Heat as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. 76ers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the 76ers lineup will feature stars like Tyrese Maxey, Quentin Grimes and Paul George, while the Heat will look to Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Jaime Jaquez.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Sixers vs. Sixers prediction: Who will win and cover?
As part of Dimers' NBA predictions coverage—and following a review of recent results—our pregame model has generated moneyline, spread, and over/under probabilities for Sunday's clash between the Heat and 76ers.
Our independent predictive model gives the Heat a 56% chance of beating the 76ers. Our predicted final score has the Heat winning 120-118.
According to our model, the 76ers (-1.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 240.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Heat vs. 76ers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | 76ers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +100 | -110 |
| Total | o240.5 (-110) | u240.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Heat vs. 76ers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | 76ers -1.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Heat | +100 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Heat to win.
Heat vs. 76ers player props
Looking for Miami vs. Philadelphia NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Xfinity Mobile Arena.
Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 22 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists, while Tyrese Maxey is projected to have 29 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the 76ers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.
Heat prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 35 |
| Bam Adebayo | 21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 41 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 37 |
| Kel'el Ware | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32 |
| Pelle Larsson | 11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 25 |
76ers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the 76ers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Maxey | 29 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 52 |
| Quentin Grimes | 19 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 38 |
| Paul George | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Andre Drummond | 12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 35 |
| Justin Edwards | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Heat vs. Sixers game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the 76ers and Heat at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. Philadelphia 76ers
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
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Conclusion
We predict the Heat, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the 76ers on Sunday, with Tyrese Maxey projected for a game-high 52 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. 76ers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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