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Heat vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Jalen Brunson projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [12/21/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Miami Heat vs New York Knicks predictions for NBA Sunday.
The New York Knicks and Miami Heat are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Madison Square Garden on Sunday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Knicks as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Knicks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature stars like Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, while the Heat will rely on Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez and Andrew Wiggins.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Heat vs. Knicks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Heat and Knicks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Knicks a 72% chance of beating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Knicks winning 120-114.
According to our model, the Heat (+7.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 235.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Heat vs. Knicks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Heat | Knicks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-110) | -7.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +245 | -300 |
| Total | o235.5 (-106) | u235.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Heat vs. Knicks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Heat +7.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Heat | +245 |
| Total | Under 235.5 | -108 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Heat +7.5 at the spread.
Heat vs. Knicks player props
Betting on Miami vs. New York NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.
Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 22 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 29 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists for the Knicks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Heat prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 22 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Jaime Jaquez | 19 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 39 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 17 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Bam Adebayo | 16 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| S. Fontecchio | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
Knicks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Knicks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson | 29 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 49 |
| K. Towns | 21 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 44 |
| OG Anunoby | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 33 |
| Mikal Bridges | 17 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 35 |
| Josh Hart | 12 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 |
Heat vs. Knicks game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Knicks and Heat at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to commence at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Conclusion
We predict the Knicks, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Sunday, with Jalen Brunson projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Knicks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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