NBA picks today: Sunday's best bets include Spurs vs. Wizards play [12/21/2025]

Wizards +15.5 (-108)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has identified value on Wizards +15.5 at -108 odds. A 58.2% probability produces an edge of 6.3%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Kings +11.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 55.3%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Sunday)

Kings +11.5 carries a 4.8% edge and a probability of 55.3% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Bucks +11.5 (-102)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 54.4%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

Bucks +11.5 vs. Timberwolves at -102 odds shows a 3.9% edge, supported by a 54.4% probability in simulations.

Heat +7.5 (+100)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

A 3.7% edge and 53.7% probability make Heat +7.5 vs. Knicks at a value play in the Heat vs. Knicks matchup, per our model.

Bulls vs. Hawks under 245.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 54.6%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Hawks (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Bulls vs. Hawks under 245.5 points at -108 odds presents a 2.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.6%.

Wizards ML (+800)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 13.5%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Sunday)

Our model finds value on Wizards to win at +800 odds, supported by an edge of 2.4%.

NBA best bets summary: Sunday, 12/21/2025

As of 4:31AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Spurs vs. Wizards	Wizards +15.5	-108 @ FanDuel	6.3%	58.2%
Rockets vs. Kings	Kings +11.5	-102 @ DraftKings	4.8%	55.3%
Bucks vs. Timberwolves	Bucks +11.5	-102 @ BetMGM	3.9%	54.4%
Heat vs. Knicks	Heat +7.5	+100 @ DraftKings	3.7%	53.7%
Bulls vs. Hawks	Under 245.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	2.7%	54.6%
Spurs vs. Wizards	Wizards ML	+800 @ DraftKings	2.4%	13.5%

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [12/21/2025]

• Bulls vs. Hawks (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Raptors vs. Nets (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Heat vs. Knicks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Bucks vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Spurs vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockets vs. Kings (10:00PM ET, Sunday)

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Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for December 21, 2025, featuring plays such as Wizards +15.5 and Kings +11.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate NBA insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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