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Heat vs. Knicks Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Knicks NBA game on December 21, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
125
132
Dec 21, 11PM Madison Square Garden
Dec 21, 11PM Madison Square Garden
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 37 | 25 | 37 | 26 | 125 |
Knicks | 30 | 36 | 39 | 27 | 132 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 37 | 25 | 37 | 26 | 125 |
Knicks | 30 | 36 | 39 | 27 | 132 |
Q4 00:27 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
Q4 00:34 Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
Q4 00:44 OG Anunoby makes two point pullup jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
Q4 1:02 Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 1:15 Jalen Brunson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Q4 2:15 Mikal Bridges makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)
Q4 2:35 Norman Powell misses two point driving layup
Q4 2:51 Josh Hart makes two point cutting layup (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)
Q4 3:31 Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
Q4 3:45 Bam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Knicks turnover (shot clock violation)
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving floating jump shot
125-132
Davion Mitchell personal foul (Take) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
123-131
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
123-132
+3
Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
123-130
+2
OG Anunoby makes two point pullup jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
120-130
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
120-128
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Norman Powell flagrant 1 (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request: Ruling Overturned)
+1
Jalen Brunson makes flagrant free throw 1 of 3
118-126
+1
Jalen Brunson makes flagrant free throw 2 of 3
118-127
+1
Jalen Brunson makes flagrant free throw 3 of 3
118-128
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jump ball. Norman Powell vs. Jalen Brunson (Bam Adebayo gains possession)
+3
Mikal Bridges makes three point jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)
118-125
OG Anunoby defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving layup
+2
Josh Hart makes two point cutting layup (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)
118-122
Jalen Brunson shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
117-120
Knicks lineup change (Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
118-120
Mikal Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Norman Powell steals)
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
116-120
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat 60 second timeout
Knicks 60 second timeout
Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby)
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Tyler Kolek misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Mitchell Robinson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
112-120
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
113-120
Norman Powell misses three point running pullup jump shot
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Mitchell Robinson misses two point tip dunk
Mitchell Robinson offensive rebound
Josh Hart misses two point running layup
Norman Powell turnover (lost ball) (Mitchell Robinson steals)
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Mitchell Robinson assists)
111-120
Mitchell Robinson offensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses three point jump shot
Jalen Brunson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
110-117
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
111-117
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Norman Powell assists)
109-117
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mikal Bridges misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Josh Hart shooting foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-117
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Tyler Kolek misses three point pullup jump shot
Knicks defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
Knicks personal foul
Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Loose ball) (Josh Hart draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns)
+3
Josh Hart makes three point pullup jump shot
106-117
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges)
Knicks personal foul
Knicks 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Karl-Anthony Towns steals)
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Mikal Bridges makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
106-114
OG Anunoby shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
105-111
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns)
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
106-111
Jordan Clarkson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point running jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Mikal Bridges misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
104-111
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point pullup jump shot
Tyler Kolek turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot
102-111
Dru Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat offensive rebound
OG Anunoby personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
+2
Tyler Kolek makes two point driving finger roll layup
100-111
Simone Fontecchio turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses three point jump shot
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)
+1
OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 2
100-108
+1
OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-109
OG Anunoby shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
100-107
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio shooting foul (OG Anunoby draws the foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Upheld)
+1
OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 1 of 3
99-106
+1
OG Anunoby makes regular free throw 2 of 3
99-107
OG Anunoby misses regular free throw 3 of 3
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Karl-Anthony Towns turnover (offensive foul)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jordan Clarkson, OG Anunoby)
+2
Mitchell Robinson makes two point dunk (OG Anunoby assists)
99-104
Norman Powell shooting foul (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)
+1
Mitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
99-105
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses heave shot
End of 3rd Quarter.
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby)
Start of 4th Quarter
+3
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
99-102
Jordan Clarkson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
+3
Norman Powell makes three point pullup jump shot
96-102
+2
Mitchell Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)
93-102
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses two point jump shot
Kasparas Jakucionis misses two point driving layup
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving layup
93-100
Mitchell Robinson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses two point driving finger roll layup
+2
OG Anunoby makes two point running dunk
93-98
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (lost ball) (OG Anunoby steals)
Kasparas Jakucionis shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
93-95
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-96
Jordan Clarkson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
OG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Dru Smith steals)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jordan Clarkson personal foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
Knicks 60 second timeout
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Jalen Brunson, Jordan Clarkson, OG Anunoby)
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
92-94
+1
Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
93-94
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
91-94
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
91-92
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot
88-92
Josh Hart shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 1 of 3
Heat offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses regular free throw 2 of 3
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
88-90
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Josh Hart misses three point jump shot
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving layup
87-90
+3
Jordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
85-90
Jalen Brunson shooting foul (Dru Smith draws the foul)
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
84-87
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
85-87
Jordan Clarkson misses two point tip layup
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point running jump shot
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Jalen Brunson personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Jordan Clarkson)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
83-87
+3
OG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
80-87
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
80-84
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot
78-84
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving layup
78-82
Heat offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Jalen Brunson personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins)
Andrew Wiggins misses two point tip layup
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses two point running layup
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Norman Powell offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point driving floating jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)
Karl-Anthony Towns misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Knicks offensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns misses regular free throw 2 of 2
OG Anunoby shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-82
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-82
+3
OG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
74-82
+3
Norman Powell makes three point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
74-79
Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
71-78
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
71-79
Josh Hart offensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point driving layup
71-77
+2
OG Anunoby makes two point turnaround jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
69-77
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
69-75
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot
66-75
Heat 60 second timeout
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
OG Anunoby blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point driving floating jump shot
+2
OG Anunoby makes two point dunk (Josh Hart assists)
66-73
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
OG Anunoby blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving layup
+3
Josh Hart makes three point pullup jump shot
66-71
Josh Hart shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-68
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
66-68
OG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
+2
Karl-Anthony Towns makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
64-68
+2
Norman Powell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
64-66
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Andrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Karl-Anthony Towns steals)
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point stepback jump shot
62-66
End of 1st Half.
Heat misses heave shot
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby)
Start of 3rd Quarter
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving hook shot
62-63
Knicks offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware personal foul (Loose ball) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)
+1
Mitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-62
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, OG Anunoby)
+1
Mitchell Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-63
Josh Hart misses two point pullup jump shot
Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Heat offensive rebound
Tyler Kolek personal foul (Loose ball) (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-61
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses three point jump shot
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk
59-61
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving reverse layup
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Kolek assists)
57-61
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, OG Anunoby)
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point pullup jump shot
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Mikal Bridges misses three point running jump shot
Mitchell Robinson defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving layup
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot
57-58
Davion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot
Mitchell Robinson defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point putback layup
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Norman Powell misses three point pullup jump shot
Heat 60 second timeout
+3
Mikal Bridges makes three point running jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
57-56
Davion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive foul (Tyler Kolek draws the foul)
Kel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Mikal Bridges makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Kolek assists)
57-53
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point driving floating bank jump shot (Josh Hart assists)
57-50
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk
57-48
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point jump shot
55-48
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
55-45
+2
Tyler Kolek makes two point driving layup (Mitchell Robinson assists)
52-45
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive goaltending violation
Heat delay of game violation
Simone Fontecchio personal foul (Karl-Anthony Towns draws the foul)
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges)
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving reverse layup
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Mohamed Diawara misses two point stepback jump shot
Karl-Anthony Towns defensive rebound
Dru Smith misses two point driving floating jump shot
Mitchell Robinson personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Mohamed Diawara, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns)
OG Anunoby turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Simone Fontecchio assists)
52-43
Knicks 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins)
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns misses two point tip layup
Mikal Bridges misses two point reverse layup
+3
Simone Fontecchio makes three point pullup jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
50-43
+3
Mikal Bridges makes three point running jump shot (Tyler Kolek assists)
47-43
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns misses two point driving layup
Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
Knicks violation
Tyler Kolek misses two point pullup jump shot
Heat defensive rebound
Karl-Anthony Towns personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby)
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mitchell Robinson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby)
Knicks technical foul (Delay of game)
Knicks delay of game violation
Mikal Bridges defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Mikal Bridges makes two point jump shot (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)
47-40
+2
Dru Smith makes two point driving bank hook shot
47-38
Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
OG Anunoby misses three point jump shot
Jordan Clarkson shooting foul (Dru Smith draws the foul)
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
44-38
+1
Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
45-38
+2
Tyler Kolek makes two point driving layup
43-38
Simone Fontecchio offensive rebound
Tyler Kolek shooting foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 2
42-36
+1
Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-36
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Mikal Bridges makes three point jump shot (Jordan Clarkson assists)
41-36
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup
41-33
+3
Jordan Clarkson makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
39-33
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
39-30
Knicks offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Knicks lineup change (Tyler Kolek, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jordan Clarkson, OG Anunoby)
Start of 2nd Quarter
Mohamed Diawara misses three point jump shot
+3
Dru Smith makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
37-30
Mitchell Robinson blocks Kasparas Jakucionis's two point driving layup
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)
34-30
OG Anunoby offensive rebound
Mohamed Diawara shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
33-27
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-27
+2
Jordan Clarkson makes two point driving layup
32-27
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
32-25
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jordan Clarkson misses three point jump shot
OG Anunoby defensive rebound
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup
30-25
Mitchell Robinson shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Jalen Brunson offensive rebound
+2
Mitchell Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)
28-25
Mitchell Robinson defensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
+3
Mohamed Diawara makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)
28-23
Jalen Brunson defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)
Heat 60 second timeout
Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, Mohamed Diawara, Jalen Brunson, Jordan Clarkson, OG Anunoby)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Kasparas Jakucionis, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
28-19
+1
Jalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-20
+2
Davion Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)
28-18
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses three point running pullup jump shot
Mitchell Robinson defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Josh Hart makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Brunson assists)
26-18
+3
Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Simone Fontecchio assists)
26-16
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot
23-16
+3
Andrew Wiggins makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
23-14
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Mikal Bridges misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Davion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Mitchell Robinson steals)
Karl-Anthony Towns turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins)
Knicks lineup change (Mitchell Robinson, Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Jordan Clarkson)
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
+3
Jalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot
20-14
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point driving finger roll layup
20-11
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot
18-11
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
18-9
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point pullup jump shot
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
16-9
Karl-Anthony Towns offensive foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Karl-Anthony Towns turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup (Davion Mitchell assists)
13-9
Knicks 60 second timeout
Knicks lineup change (Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jordan Clarkson)
Mikal Bridges turnover (bad pass) (Norman Powell steals)
+3
Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
11-9
+2
Mikal Bridges makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
8-9
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Karl-Anthony Towns technical foul
Heat lineup change (Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Andrew Wiggins)
Norman Powell misses technical free throw 1 of 1
Knicks defensive rebound
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
8-7
Mikal Bridges personal foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Josh Hart misses two point driving reverse layup
Knicks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo misses three point running jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Josh Hart misses three point pullup jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)
Karl-Anthony Towns misses two point running jump shot
Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins blocks Karl-Anthony Towns's two point driving layup
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point layup
OG Anunoby turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot
+2
Mikal Bridges makes two point running reverse layup (Josh Hart assists)
6-7
Josh Hart defensive rebound
Norman Powell misses two point driving floating jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+3
Josh Hart makes three point jump shot (Mikal Bridges assists)
6-5
+3
Norman Powell makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
6-2
+2
Jalen Brunson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
3-2
+3
Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
3-0
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Jalen Brunson misses two point pullup jump shot
Knicks lineup change (Josh Hart, Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, Karl-Anthony Towns, OG Anunoby)
Start of 1st Quarter
Kel'el Ware vs. Karl-Anthony Towns (Josh Hart gains possession)
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Andrew Wiggins)
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Heat vs. Knicks: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Knicks
- Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Knicks favored at -7
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +240, Knicks -286
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 28%
- Knicks: 72%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 114-121 Knicks.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 28%, while the Knicks have a win probability of 72%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Knicks are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Madison Square Garden on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Knicks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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