Heat vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Memphis is favored to win Friday's NBA matchup [10/24/2025]

The Memphis Grizzlies will take on the Miami Heat in NBA action at FedExForum on Friday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Grizzlies as the most likely winner of the Heat vs. Grizzlies game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson and Santi Aldama, while the Heat will look to Norman Powell, Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Heat vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NBA game between the Heat and Grizzlies 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 63% chance of defeating the Heat. Our predicted final score has the Grizzlies winning 117-114.

According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Heat and Grizzlies each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 232.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Heat vs. Grizzlies odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Heat vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet

Our predictions, matched with the listed odds, reveal the top betting picks to place on this game, detailed in our best NBA bets for Friday, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:

According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies moneyline.

Heat vs. Grizzlies player props

NBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on the Heat vs. Grizzlies matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.

Norman Powell is expected to lead the Heat with 22 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Ja Morant is projected to have 24 points, 4 rebounds and 7 assists for the Grizzlies.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every game this season.

Heat prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Heat are:

Grizzlies prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:

Heat vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details

Friday's game between the Grizzlies and Heat at FedExForum is scheduled to begin at 8:00PM ET.

• Who: Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies
• Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
• Time: 8:00PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: FedExForum

Conclusion

We predict the Grizzlies, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Heat on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Heat vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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