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Heat vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Grizzlies NBA game on October 24, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
146
114
Oct 25, 12AM FedExForum
Oct 25, 12AM FedExForum
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 44 | 38 | 64 | 0 | 146 |
Grizzlies | 25 | 22 | 67 | 0 | 114 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Heat | 44 | 38 | 64 | 0 | 146 |
Grizzlies | 25 | 22 | 67 | 0 | 114 |
Q4 00:12 Javon Small makes three point stepback jump shot
Q4 00:23 Jahmir Young makes two point driving layup
Q4 00:44 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:04 Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:16 Keshad Johnson makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Grizzlies makes two point jump shot (Javon Small assists)
Q4 1:44 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:57 Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:01 GG Jackson blocks Jahmir Young's two point running layup
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
+3
Javon Small makes three point stepback jump shot
146-114
+2
Jahmir Young makes two point driving layup
146-111
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
PJ Hall defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-114
+3
Keshad Johnson makes three point jump shot
146-114
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot (Javon Small assists)
146-114
Heat turnover
PJ Hall defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 2
146-114
Javon Small defensive rebound
Javon Small misses regular free throw 2 of 2
GG Jackson blocks Jahmir Young's two point running layup
Jahmir Young defensive rebound
Javon Small misses two point jump shot
Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
+2
Pelle Larsson makes two point tip layup
146-114
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jahmir Young shooting foul (Cam Spencer draws the foul)
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 1 of 2
146-114
+1
Cam Spencer makes regular free throw 2 of 2
146-114
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
146-114
Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-114
Javon Small defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
PJ Hall blocks Keshad Johnson's two point driving layup
Heat offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 2
137-95
Pelle Larsson turnover
Heat personal foul
Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
+1
Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 2
146-114
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, John Konchar, GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, PJ Hall)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat misses three point jump shot
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-114
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Cedric Coward misses three point jump shot
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Heat turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-114
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Javon Small misses two point jump shot
PJ Hall defensive rebound
Jahmir Young misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
146-114
Pelle Larsson personal foul (Cedric Coward draws the foul)
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
146-114
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
146-114
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
146-114
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Pelle Larsson, Nikola Jovic, Jahmir Young, Simone Fontecchio)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-114
Dru Smith offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
137-92
Heat misses two point jump shot
Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Pelle Larsson, Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith)
Grizzlies lineup change (Javon Small, John Konchar, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, PJ Hall, Cedric Coward)
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
137-92
Nikola Jovic shooting foul (Olivier-Maxence Prosper draws the foul)
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
137-92
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
146-114
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Nikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
127-85
Heat defensive rebound
PJ Hall personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
+2
GG Jackson makes two point cutting dunk (Cedric Coward assists)
127-85
Heat turnover
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Cedric Coward misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
137-92
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
GG Jackson makes two point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
137-92
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 1 of 2
146-114
+1
Cedric Coward makes regular free throw 2 of 2
146-114
Cedric Coward personal foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
146-114
+1
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
146-114
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
+1
GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
116-78
Kel'el Ware personal foul
GG Jackson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Dru Smith makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
146-114
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
Olivier-Maxence Prosper misses two point tip layup
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
137-92
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
137-92
Heat violation
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, PJ Hall, Cedric Coward)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point putback layup
137-92
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Simone Fontecchio misses three point running jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Cam Spencer turnover (bad pass)
Cam Spencer misses two point driving floating jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
146-114
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point cutting layup (Dru Smith assists)
109-76
Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
GG Jackson defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point hook shot
146-114
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
146-114
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-114
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
146-114
Nikola Jovic offensive rebound
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small, GG Jackson, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Heat misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Heat turnover
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
146-114
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
146-114
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
146-114
Heat turnover
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Dru Smith offensive rebound
Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
137-92
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
137-92
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
137-92
Grizzlies turnover
Heat turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
146-114
Cedric Coward defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
146-114
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
146-114
Instant replay (Challenge)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat personal foul
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
146-114
+1
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
146-114
Grizzlies turnover
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
146-114
Heat offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Heat turnover
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward)
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware personal foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)
Kel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Santi Aldama makes two point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)
146-114
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Davion Mitchell turnover
Kel'el Ware blocks Ja Morant's two point reverse layup
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
146-114
Heat 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Santi Aldama, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells, Cedric Coward)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-114
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo personal foul (Jaren Jackson Jr. draws the foul)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Norman Powell personal foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
+1
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 1
146-114
Jaylen Wells misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Jaylen Wells draws the foul)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
146-111
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Andrew Wiggins turnover (offensive foul)
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
146-111
Heat turnover
Grizzlies turnover
Heat personal foul
Heat turnover
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
94-57
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
94-57
End of 1st Half.
Grizzlies offensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
+2
Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
82-47
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses three point pullup jump shot
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
Jaylen Wells personal foul
Norman Powell misses regular free throw 3 of 3
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 3
94-57
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 3
94-57
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
94-57
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
82-47
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-57
Grizzlies personal foul
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Jock Landale defensive rebound
Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Santi Aldama, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
Jaylen Wells offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
94-57
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Santi Aldama draws the foul)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
82-47
Santi Aldama misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Grizzlies defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
82-47
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)
Jaren Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware misses two point putback layup
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-53
Ja Morant defensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses two point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-53
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Ja Morant, Cedric Coward)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
92-53
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Kel'el Ware misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-53
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Javon Small personal foul
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Santi Aldama, Javon Small, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward)
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-53
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 1
92-53
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
92-53
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-47
Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
Heat personal foul
+1
Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-53
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware)
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
89-53
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
89-53
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Davion Mitchell, Simone Fontecchio)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, Javon Small, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Cedric Coward)
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
89-53
Grizzlies turnover
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
82-47
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot
82-47
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
82-47
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
82-47
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
82-47
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
82-47
+1
Nikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
82-47
Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Jaylen Wells, Cedric Coward)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
56-30
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
53-30
Simone Fontecchio shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-29
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jaren Jackson Jr., GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
+1
Ja Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
51-30
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
51-28
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
51-28
+2
Kel'el Ware makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
48-25
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Cam Spencer defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
Cam Spencer turnover
Heat turnover
Jock Landale offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
GG Jackson misses two point turnaround jump shot
GG Jackson offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Heat personal foul
Grizzlies offensive rebound
GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 2
44-25
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
51-28
Grizzlies offensive rebound
End of 1st Quarter.
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
44-25
Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
Jock Landale misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
42-25
Heat personal foul
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 1 of 2
39-24
+1
Jock Landale makes regular free throw 2 of 2
42-25
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
39-23
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
37-23
Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
37-21
Heat misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies turnover
Ja Morant offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Heat lineup change (Nikola Jovic, Simone Fontecchio, Kel'el Ware, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Jock Landale, GG Jackson, Cam Spencer, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
35-21
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
32-21
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
29-21
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
27-21
Grizzlies 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Olivier-Maxence Prosper)
Heat violation
Heat misses two point jump shot
Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Jaren Jackson Jr. defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Dru Smith defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Santi Aldama defensive rebound
Heat misses three point jump shot
Norman Powell defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
25-21
Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
22-21
+3
Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
20-21
Heat personal foul
Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Bam Adebayo, Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Heat 60 second timeout
Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Javon Small, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cedric Coward)
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
20-18
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
20-16
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
Heat misses two point jump shot
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
17-16
Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
Heat turnover
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
16-14
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
17-14
Grizzlies turnover
Heat misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
14-14
+1
Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
15-14
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
13-14
Heat personal foul
Davion Mitchell turnover (offensive foul)
Heat defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Ja Morant, PJ Hall, Jaylen Wells, Cedric Coward)
+1
Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
13-12
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
12-12
Santi Aldama offensive rebound
Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
+3
Heat makes three point jump shot
12-10
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
9-10
Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
9-8
Heat misses two point jump shot
Grizzlies personal foul
Jock Landale turnover (offensive foul)
Grizzlies lineup change (Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Ja Morant, Jaylen Wells)
Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
+2
Heat makes two point jump shot
7-8
Grizzlies personal foul
Davion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
+2
Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
5-8
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound
Ja Morant shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Heat offensive rebound
Andrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot
+2
Jaren Jackson Jr. makes two point driving hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)
5-6
+2
Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
5-4
Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
Ja Morant misses two point stepback jump shot
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 0 | S. Fontecchio | 14 | 5 | 2 |
| G | 17 | J. Young | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| G | 9 | P. Larsson | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| F | 16 | K. Johnson | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| F | 5 | N. Jovic | 20 | 6 | 4 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 24 | C. Spencer | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| F | 45 | G. Jackson | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| C | 16 | P. Hall | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 10 | J. Small | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| G | 46 | J. Konchar | 3 | 1 | 1 |
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Heat vs. Grizzlies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Heat vs. Grizzlies
- Date: Friday, October 24, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: FedExForum
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Grizzlies favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 232.5
- Moneyline Odds: Heat +132, Grizzlies -150
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Heat: 37%
- Grizzlies: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 114-118 Grizzlies.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 37%, while the Grizzlies have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Grizzlies are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at FedExForum on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Heat vs. Grizzlies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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