May 22, 2026
GWS Giants vs. Brisbane Lions prediction: Lions favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/23/2026]
Read Article Western Bulldogs vs. Melbourne Demons prediction: Tight battle projected in updated analysis for Sunday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons predictions for AFL Sunday.
AFL action continues on Sunday at 1:15 AM ET as the Melbourne Demons lock horns with the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts an equal chance for both both teams to win the Melbourne-Western matchup.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bulldogs vs. Demons prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's AFL matchup between the Demons and Bulldogs, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently can't split the two teams, giving both the Demons and Bulldogs a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the Bulldogs (+2.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 192.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Melbourne vs. Bulldogs odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Demons | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -125 | +100 |
| Line (Spread) | -2.5 (-115) | +2.5 (-115) |
| Total | o192.5 (-115) | u192.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Demons vs. Bulldogs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bulldogs +2.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Bulldogs | +100 |
| Total | Under 192.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bulldogs +2.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bulldogs vs. Demons game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football game between the Bulldogs and Demons at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:15 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Demons vs. Western Bulldogs
- Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Time: 1:15 AM ET/10:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Demons and Bulldogs on Sunday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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