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Carlton Blues vs. Melbourne Demons prediction: Why Demons are favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 3 matchup [3/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons predictions for AFL Sunday.
The Carlton Blues and Melbourne Demons are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, starting at 12:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Demons as the most likely winner of the Demons vs. Blues game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blues vs. Demons prediction: Who will win Round 3 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's AFL matchup between the Demons and Blues, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Demons a 53% chance of beating the Blues.
According to our model, the Demons (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 183.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Melbourne vs. Carlton odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Demons | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -115 | -110 |
| Line (Spread) | +1.5 (-120) | -1.5 (-105) |
| Total | o183.5 (-115) | u183.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Demons vs. Blues picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Demons +1.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Demons | -115 |
| Total | Under 183.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Demons +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blues vs. Demons game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football action between the Blues and Demons at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 12:15 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues
- Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026
- Time: 12:15 AM ET/9:15PM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Demons, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Blues on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Demons vs. Blues insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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