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Matteo Berrettini vs. Casper Ruud Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Italian Open 2025

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Written by Mac Douglass

Our expert prediction for Monday's Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud matchup.

Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Tennis Prediction.
Our Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Matteo Berrettini will square off with Casper Ruud in the round of 32 at the ATP Rome event on Monday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Casper Ruud as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have utilized the latest data to simulate Monday's Berrettini-Ruud match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Incorporating recent updates and thousands of additional inputs, our prediction shows Casper Ruud is likely to win, with a probability of 57%, compared to Matteo Berrettini's 43%."

For a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Berrettini vs. Ruud predictions page.

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Berrettini vs. Ruud Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Berrettini-Ruud men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Ruud a 57% chance of winning against Berrettini at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Ruud has a 54% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities
Last Updated: 11:04PM, May 12
Moneyline
1st Set
MatteoBerrettini
Win %
44%
56%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
CasperRuud
MatteoBerrettini
Win %
44%
56%
See Matchup
CasperRuud
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Matteo Berrettini vs. Casper Ruud Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Berrettini Ruud
Moneyline +137 -175
First Set +120 -152

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Berrettini vs. Ruud Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Berrettini vs. Ruud match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Berrettini vs. Ruud Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Italian Open match between Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud is scheduled to begin on Monday at 1:00PM ET.

  • Who: Matteo Berrettini vs. Casper Ruud
  • Date: Monday, May 12, 2025
  • Approx. Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Monday's Berrettini vs. Ruud match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Matteo Berrettini vs. Casper Ruud picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

Conclusion

We predict Casper Ruud, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Berrettini at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Berrettini vs. Ruud insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Tennis

Keep up with the latest tennis betting news and parlay picks throughout the year. Plus, Dimers' ATP and WTA world rankings showcase our in-house approach to accurately ranking every men's and women's player in the world.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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