Marlins vs. D-Backs Prediction and Odds - May 9, 2022

MLB action continues on Monday at 9:40PM ET as the Miami Marlins take on the Arizona D-Backs at Chase Field.

Humberto Castellanos (2-1, 4.12 ERA) will be on the bump for the D-Backs, while the Marlins are going with Elieser Hernandez (2-1, 6.66 ERA).

Dimers' top betting picks for Marlins vs. D-Backs, plus game predictions and best odds, are featured in this article.

This Miami vs. Arizona betting analysis is presented by PointsBet, which has an awesome 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets promo for new users.

Who will win Marlins vs. D-Backs?

Based on advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Monday's Marlins-D-Backs MLB matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Marlins a 55% chance of beating the D-Backs.

More: Marlins vs. D-Backs Simulated 10,000 Times

Marlins vs. D-Backs Odds

• Run Line: D-Backs +1.5 (-161), Marlins -1.5 (+145)
• Moneyline: D-Backs -105, Marlins -106
• Total: Over/Under 9 (+100/-122)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The D-Backs are listed as +1.5 underdogs versus the Marlins, with -161 at Caesars Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Marlins (-1.5) to cover the run line, BetMGM has the best odds currently on offer at +145.

In a sign of how close this game is expected to be, both the D-Backs and Marlins are currently at minus-money betting odds to win on Monday.

Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the D-Backs at -105, which means you can risk $105 to win $100, for a total payout of $205, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Marlins at -106, where you can risk $106 to win $100, for a total payout of $206, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total runs scored sits at 9 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at +100, as well as the best odds for the Under at -122.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the D-Backs (+1.5) are a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run Over/Under is a 51% chance of going Over.

More: Today's Best Bets for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Marlins vs. D-Backs

• Run Line: Marlins -1.5 @ +145 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Marlins @ -106 via FanDuel Sportsbook (55% probability)
• Total: Over 9 @ +100 via FanDuel Sportsbook (51% probability)

Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and betting intelligence to help you make smarter investments with the legal sportsbooks in the USA.

Even though the D-Backs are more likely to cover the run line, our best bet of Marlins -1.5 is based on the expectation of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the top odds available.

Marlins vs. D-Backs Betting Guide

Use our dynamic widget below to view up-to-date Moneyline, Over/Under and Run Line probabilities and odds for Miami vs. Arizona, and click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of Monday's Marlins-D-Backs matchup, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Marlins vs. D-Backs on Monday May 9, 2022.

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Marlins vs. D-Backs 2022 Game Info

When do the D-Backs play the Marlins?

• Date: Monday May 9, 2022
• Time: 9:40PM ET / 6:40PM PT
• Venue: Chase Field

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Want more MLB predictions like this?

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We use the power of predictive analytics to find value in the markets so we can publish the best MLB betting previews out there. We're able to do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

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Finally, Dimers' Baseball Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the 2022 World Series, with our data-led probabilities compared to the best odds to win the World Series.