Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek Prediction, Odds, Picks for WTA Madrid Open 2025

Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek will meet in the quarterfinals of the WTA Madrid Open event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Iga Swiatek as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Keys-Swiatek match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate Iga Swiatek's chance of winning at 75%, with Madison Keys at 25%."

For expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Keys vs. Swiatek predictions page.

Keys vs. Swiatek Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Semifinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Keys-Swiatek women's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Swiatek a 75% chance of winning against Keys at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Swiatek has a 70% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek Odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Keys	Swiatek
Moneyline	+240	-303
First Set	+200	-250

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Keys vs. Swiatek Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Keys vs. Swiatek match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Keys vs. Swiatek Updates and Essential Details

The WTA Madrid Open match between Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek is scheduled to commence on Wednesday at 7:00AM ET.

• Who: Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek
• Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025
• Approx. Time: 7:00AM ET/4:00AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2025
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Wednesday's Keys vs. Swiatek match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

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• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Iga Swiatek, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat Madison Keys at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Keys vs. Swiatek insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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