Luciano Darderi vs. Shintaro Mochizuki prediction, odds, picks for ATP Almaty 2025

Luciano Darderi and Shintaro Mochizuki will lock horns in the round of 16 of the ATP Almaty event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Luciano Darderi as the most likely winner of the match.

For expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Darderi vs. Mochizuki predictions page.

Darderi vs. Mochizuki prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Darderi-Mochizuki men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Darderi a 56% chance of winning against Mochizuki at the ATP Almaty tournament.

Additionally, Darderi has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Darderi (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 58% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Luciano Darderi vs. Shintaro Mochizuki odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Darderi	Mochizuki
Moneyline	-150	+132
First Set	-152	+120
Game Spread	-1.5 (+145)	+1.5 (-220)
Total Games	o23.5 (+100)	u23.5 (-150)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Darderi vs. Mochizuki picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Darderi vs. Mochizuki match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Darderi vs. Mochizuki updates and essential details

The ATP Almaty match between Luciano Darderi and Shintaro Mochizuki is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 3:10AM ET.

• Who: Luciano Darderi vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
• Date: Thursday, October 16, 2025
• Approx. Time: 3:10AM ET/12:10AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Almaty, Kazakhstan Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Thursday's Darderi vs. Mochizuki match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Luciano Darderi vs. Shintaro Mochizuki picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Luciano Darderi, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat Shintaro Mochizuki at the ATP Almaty tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Darderi vs. Mochizuki insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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