Lorenzo Musetti vs. Gabriel Diallo Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Madrid Open 2025

Lorenzo Musetti and Gabriel Diallo are scheduled to meet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Madrid Open event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner of the match.

"Using the latest data, we simulated Thursday's Musetti-Diallo match 10,000 times," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast Lorenzo Musetti with a win probability of 68% and Gabriel Diallo with 32%."

For further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Musetti vs. Diallo predictions page.

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Musetti vs. Diallo Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Semifinals?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Musetti-Diallo men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Musetti a 68% chance of beating Diallo at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Musetti has a 64% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

Pre-Match Probabilities

Last Updated: 11:01PM, May 1

Moneyline

1st Set

LorenzoMusetti

Win %

68%

32%

-500

+350

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See Matchup

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GabrielDiallo

LorenzoMusetti

-500

Win %

68%

32%

See Matchup

GabrielDiallo

+350

Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

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For more insights into the growing popularity of betting on the sport, check out our comprehensive analysis of tennis' rise in the U.S. sports betting market.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Gabriel Diallo Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Musetti vs. Diallo Picks and Best Bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Musetti vs. Diallo match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every match throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our complete set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Musetti vs. Diallo Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Lorenzo Musetti and Gabriel Diallo is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 2:00PM ET.

• Who: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Gabriel Diallo
• Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
• Approx. Time: 2:00PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Thursday's Musetti vs. Diallo match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Lorenzo Musetti vs. Gabriel Diallo picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key Tennis Betting Guides and Insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Lorenzo Musetti, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat Gabriel Diallo at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Musetti vs. Diallo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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