Raiders vs. Broncos prediction: Denver favored to win TNF Week 10, 2025

The Denver Broncos will square off with the Las Vegas Raiders in NFL Week 10 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Thursday, starting at 8:15PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Broncos as the most likely winner of the Raiders vs. Broncos game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of this week's matchup, including touchdown scorer projections, best bets and player prop picks.

Raiders vs. Broncos prediction: Who will win, cover the spread?

Since our Raiders-Broncos predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NFL matchup between the Raiders and Broncos 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Broncos a 78% chance of defeating the Raiders in Week 10 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Broncos winning 25-17.

According to our model, the Raiders (+9.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 42.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 10 straight up picks.

Raiders vs. Broncos odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Raiders	Broncos
Spread	+9.5 (-115)	-9.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+375	-460
Total	o42.5 (-104)	u42.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change. For more, we have gone into detail on tonight's Thursday Night Football odds.

Raiders vs. Broncos picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Raiders +9.5	-115
Moneyline	Raiders	+375
Total	Over 42.5	-104

According to our best NFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Raiders +9.5 at the spread.

Raiders vs. Broncos TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Raiders vs. Broncos?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for TNF, J.K. Dobbins is most likely to score an anytime TD in Raiders vs. Broncos.

Our projections give Dobbins a 43.9% chance of getting in for six at Empower Field at Mile High, while the running back is an 11.3% chance of registering the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	43.3%
Brock Bowers (TE)	34.9%
Tre Tucker (WR)	24.1%
Michael Mayer (TE)	13.1%
Jack Bech (WR)	12.0%

Denver Broncos

Player	Anytime TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins (RB)	43.9%
Courtland Sutton (WR)	36.6%
Troy Franklin (WR)	32.3%
RJ Harvey (RB)	28.8%
Evan Engram (TE)	22.0%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Las Vegas Raiders

Player	First TD Probability
Ashton Jeanty (RB)	11.3%
Brock Bowers (TE)	8.6%
Tre Tucker (WR)	5.5%
Michael Mayer (TE)	2.8%
Jack Bech (WR)	2.5%

Denver Broncos

Player	First TD Probability
J.K. Dobbins (RB)	11.3%
Courtland Sutton (WR)	8.9%
Troy Franklin (WR)	7.6%
RJ Harvey (RB)	6.6%
Evan Engram (TE)	4.8%

Raiders vs Broncos player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Raiders and Broncos. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 10 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Raiders' Geno Smith is projected for 220 passing yards, while the Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 233 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Geno Smith (LV)	220
Bo Nix (DEN)	233

Raiders rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Ashton Jeanty	56
Geno Smith	14
Raheem Mostert	11

Broncos rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
J.K. Dobbins	73
RJ Harvey	24
Bo Nix	23

Raiders receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Brock Bowers	66
Tre Tucker	52
Michael Mayer	26
Tyler Lockett	21
Jack Bech	21

Broncos receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Courtland Sutton	63
Troy Franklin	53
Evan Engram	33
Pat Bryant	27
RJ Harvey	20

Raiders vs. Broncos game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 10 matchup between the Broncos and Raiders at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to commence at 8:15PM ET.

• Who: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
• Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

NFL Week 10 betting promos and codes

Make the most of Dimers' Raiders vs. Broncos predictions by exploring the two exciting offers below.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Sign up for DraftKings Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.

Bet365 Sportsbook

Join Bet365 Sportsbook! Bet $5, get $200 in bonus bets win or lose.

Sports betting deal available for Thursday

To make the most of Thursday's massive day of sports, headlined by this TNF matchup, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that scores you $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!

Conclusion

We predict the Broncos, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 10 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Raiders vs. Broncos insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on NFL

Keep up with the latest NFL betting news and NFL parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Super Bowl odds provide the latest projections for the Super Bowl, AFC, NFC and each division.

Boost your NFL betting by exploring the latest NFL betting promos, sourced from top sportsbooks and DFS operators.