Bet365 J.K. Dobbins First TD Scorer Bet for Thursday Night Football (+400)

Week 10 of the NFL season kicks off under the lights in Denver, where the Las Vegas Raiders visit the Denver Broncos in an AFC West clash at Empower Field at Mile High.

For bettors, Bet365 is highlighting J.K. Dobbins in the touchdown markets ahead of Thursday Night Football. The veteran running back is priced at +400 to score the first touchdown, making him one of the top early-game prop targets of the night.

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Bet365 Bet: J.K. Dobbins First Touchdown Scorer (+400)

Dobbins has been heavily involved in Denver’s early drives since returning to form, and his workload near the goal line has made him a high-value pick for first touchdown bettors.

• Player: J.K. Dobbins (Denver Broncos)
• Market: First Touchdown Scorer
• Odds: +400
• Payout Example: $10 wager returns $50 total

With Denver averaging more than 130 rushing yards per game and Dobbins handling the bulk of red-zone carries, he’s expected to feature prominently against a Raiders defense allowing 4.6 yards per rush this season.

Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Game Details: Raiders vs. Broncos

• Teams: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Thursday, November 6, 2025
• Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. EST
• Location: Empower Field at Mile High
• Spread: Raiders +9.5 (-110) | Broncos -9.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Raiders +385 | Broncos -475
• Total: Over/Under 42.5 (-108/-102)

The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sportsbooks at the time of publication.

Expert Prediction: Raiders vs. Broncos

According to Dimers, which simulated this game 10,000 times, the Broncos have an 80% chance of winning, while the Raiders (+9.5) hold a 55% chance of covering the spread.

Dimers’ model also projects a 54% chance the total stays under 42.5, suggesting a slower-paced, run-heavy game that could benefit Denver’s backfield and create first-touchdown opportunities for Dobbins.

Raiders vs. Broncos Best Bet

The top pick for Thursday’s matchup is Under 42.5 points (-102), supported by both data and current team trends.

However, Bet365’s J.K. Dobbins First Touchdown Scorer (+400) bet provides a focused prop angle that aligns with Denver’s offensive rhythm at home.

If the Broncos score first—and the model gives them a 73% chance of doing so—Dobbins is the likeliest candidate to find the end zone.

Score Prediction for Raiders vs. Broncos

Projected final score: Broncos 24, Raiders 16.

Dimers’ model expects Denver’s defense to control the tempo and Dobbins to lead the ground game in a methodical Thursday night win.

NFL Player Props: Thursday

Las Vegas Raiders

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• Ashton Jeanty – 11.3% probability
• Brock Bowers – 8.1% probability
• Tre Tucker – 5.0% probability

Anytime Touchdown Predictions

• Ashton Jeanty – 45.9% probability
• Brock Bowers – 35.6% probability
• Tre Tucker – 23.8% probability

Projected Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Geno Smith – 213 yards
• Receiving Yards: Brock Bowers – 64 yards
• Rushing Yards: Ashton Jeanty – 57 yards

Denver Broncos

First Touchdown Scorer Predictions

• J.K. Dobbins – 11.0% probability
• Courtland Sutton – 8.0% probability
• Troy Franklin – 6.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Predictions

• J.K. Dobbins – 46.3% probability
• Courtland Sutton – 36.2% probability
• Troy Franklin – 31.0% probability

Projected Box Score Leaders

• QB Passing Yards: Bo Nix – 229 yards
• Receiving Yards: Courtland Sutton – 59 yards
• Rushing Yards: J.K. Dobbins – 74 yards

NFL Week 10: Raiders vs. Broncos

Thursday’s AFC West matchup between the Raiders and Broncos kicks off at 8:15 p.m. EST at Empower Field at Mile High. All NFL predictions and best bets in this preview are derived from 10,000 data-driven simulations by Dimers.com and are accurate at the time of publication to help bettors make informed decisions at online sportsbooks.

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To make sure you get accurate and helpful information, this guide has been edited by Nick Slade as part of our fact-checking process.