Karen Khachanov vs. Carlos Alcaraz Prediction, Odds, Picks for ATP Italian Open 2025

Karen Khachanov will face Carlos Alcaraz in the round of 16 at the ATP Rome event on Tuesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the match.

"We have analyzed the latest data and conducted 10,000 simulations for Tuesday's Khachanov-Alcaraz match," said Dimers data analyst Greg Butyn.

"By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows Carlos Alcaraz with a win probability of 77%, compared to 23% for Karen Khachanov."

For a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Khachanov vs. Alcaraz predictions page.

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Khachanov vs. Alcaraz Prediction: Who Will Win and Advance to the Quarterfinals?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Khachanov-Alcaraz men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Alcaraz a 77% chance of winning against Khachanov at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 72% chance of winning the first set, according to our model.

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Karen Khachanov vs. Carlos Alcaraz Odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Khachanov vs. Alcaraz Picks and Best Bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Khachanov vs. Alcaraz match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

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Khachanov vs. Alcaraz Updates and Essential Details

The ATP Italian Open match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 5:00AM ET.

• Who: Karen Khachanov vs. Carlos Alcaraz
• Date: Tuesday, May 13, 2025
• Approx. Time: 5:00AM ET/2:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 16

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers.com's comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Khachanov vs. Alcaraz match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Karen Khachanov vs. Carlos Alcaraz picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
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Conclusion

We predict Carlos Alcaraz, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat Karen Khachanov at the ATP Italian Open tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Khachanov vs. Alcaraz insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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